11:44
median time
Picks · Hooker vs Parnasse · Klaudia Sygula vs Nora Cornolle
Women's Bantamweight · 3 rounds
The model's pick is Klaudia Sygula over Nora Cornolle at 53% confidence — a coin-flip.
Most likely outcome: a decision at 65% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 16%, decision 65%) — a clear separation.
The model gives it a 60% chance of going the distance, with a projected median fight time around 11:44.
That read carries 6.3pp of edge above the market on Klaudia Sygula.
Live on Polymarket, Klaudia Sygula is priced around 46%.
One honest, calibrated confidence rating — the number is the signal.
The market line next to the live prediction-market prices — information only. Each bar is the two sides' share of one certain outcome.
What the market has done since it opened — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.
Klaudia Sygula's implied chance drifted down from 46% to 46% (−0.5pp) over this window.
| Series | Open | Low | High | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klaudia Sygula — sportsbook consensus | 46.2% | 45.4% | 47.9% | 46.5% | +0.4pp |
| Nora Cornolle — sportsbook consensus | 53.8% | 52.1% | 54.6% | 53.5% | −0.4pp |
| Klaudia Sygula — Polymarket | 46.0% | 45.5% | 47.5% | 45.5% | −0.5pp |
| Nora Cornolle — Polymarket | 54.0% | 52.5% | 54.5% | 54.5% | +0.5pp |
Our read on the method / round / distance markets — the market price shown for context, not as a bet call.
| Market | Our read | Market |
|---|---|---|
| KO/TKO YES | 19% | 31% |
| SUB YES | 16% | 31% |
| DEC YES | 65% | 39% |
| GOES DISTANCE YES | 60% | 39% |
| OVER 1.5 ROUNDS | 83% | 31% |
| OVER 2.5 ROUNDS | 67% | 42% |
The facts, side by side — Klaudia Sygula vs Nora Cornolle.
| 8-2 | Record | 9-4 |
| 5' 8" | Height | 5' 7" |
| 69.0" | Reach | 67.0" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 27 | Age | 36 |
| 135 lbs. | Weight | 135 lbs. |
| Poland | Nationality | France |
| Lodz | Hometown | Epinay-sur-Seine |
| — | Fighting out of | Team Cornolle |
Our read — not official stats. Six 0–100 scores, each a percentile rank against the fighter’s own weight class (the full roster where a division is too thin to rank in). The better score on each row is highlighted in that fighter's corner colour.
Career UFC significant strikes by target zone. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Klaudia Sygula3 UFC fights · 264 landed
Nora Cornolle6 UFC fights · 185 landed
Significant strikes only, as recorded by UFCStats, across the fighter's whole UFC career. Shares are raw counts — nothing here is modelled or smoothed. Accuracy is landed ÷ attempted and comes from the per-round tape, which covers slightly fewer fights than the totals do. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Klaudia Sygula
Nora Cornolle
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Klaudia Sygula (left) vs Nora Cornolle (right) — career striking & grappling rates.
Who these two are — reported newsroom prose where we have it, our own data-built profile where we don’t. Each is labelled.
5' 8" orthodox volume boxer campaigning at Women's Bantamweight. 2 UFC wins — 2 decision.
5' 7" orthodox all-rounder campaigning at Women's Bantamweight. 3 UFC wins — 1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 1 decision.
No newsroom piece is mapped to this bout yet. The newsroom is live — read the latest →