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Events · Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev
Red corner KennedyNzechukwu“African Savage”Fortis MMA · Dallas, Texas
VSSettled
Blue corner ShamilGazievKHK MMA · Manama
Heavyweight3 rounds22 Aug 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 7 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • 15 UFC bouts deep — 9 more than Gaziev.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
14-7-1
Record
15-3
−2 yr34
Age
36
+1″6' 5"
Height
6' 4"
+5″83″
Reach
78″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+915
UFC bouts
6
+21%7/888% of wins
Finishes
2/367% of wins
Fortis MMA
Gym
KHK MMA
Dallas, Texas
From
Manama
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Kennedy Nzechukwu
52.6% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledKO/TKO 50%
Vs the market+8.2pp
Market had our pick at44%
The fight
Shamil Gaziev
LOSS
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock1:20
Missed We called Kennedy Nzechukwu at 52.6%Shamil Gaziev won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:20 of action⚡ 1 KD GazievEnded 1:20
Kennedy Nzechukwu3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Shamil Gaziev2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 4BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
3 of 7
Sig.
strikes
2 of 5
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Shamil Gaziev

Round
1
Clock
1:20
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

0.50takedowns / 15 min
0.50 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.06 / 15m
1.11 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.21 / 15m
45%
ACCURACY
33%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Shamil Gaziev

1.06takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.77 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Heavyweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.

Kennedy NzechukwuShamil GazievPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev — implied win chance over timeLine chart. Market-implied win chance for Kennedy Nzechukwu and Shamil Gaziev from Aug 13 to Aug 22, drawn from Polymarket and the sportsbook consensus. Kennedy Nzechukwu moves from 49% to 46% and Shamil Gaziev from 51% to 54%. A gold marker sits at the first snapshot in this window — our pick was frozen before the window opened, not at that price.35%40%45%50%55%60%65%Aug 13Aug 15Aug 18Aug 20Aug 22▲ we passed here (toss-up)46%54%

Kennedy Nzechukwu's implied chance drifted down from 49% to 46% (−2.5pp) over this window. Our pick was frozen at the model cutoff, before this window opened — so the gold marker sits at the first snapshot we hold, not at a price we were reacting to.

This series stops at Aug 22 23:09Z — the last capture we hold from before the bout that ran ahead of this one on the card had finished — so it is provably from before this fight started. Our capture window is card-level and kept running through the fight, so what follows it in the raw file is the market collapsing live and then paying out at 1.00 / 0.00. That is a settlement, not price history: it is not drawn, and it is not counted in the figures below.

Our published call had Kennedy Nzechukwu at 52.6%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had him at 46.5% — our number sat 6.1pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
SeriesOpenLowHighLast pre-fightMove
Kennedy Nzechukwu — sportsbook consensus47.1%43.2%47.8%46.5%−0.6pp
Shamil Gaziev — sportsbook consensus52.9%52.2%56.8%53.5%+0.6pp
Kennedy Nzechukwu — Polymarket49.0%42.5%49.5%46.5%−2.5pp
Shamil Gaziev — Polymarket51.0%50.5%57.5%53.5%+2.5pp
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 2,678 snapshots on file · window Aug 13 15:15Aug 22 23:03Z · last capture Aug 22, 23:03Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.
← Back to the public record