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Events · Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas
Red corner JamallEmmers“Pretty Boy”Pinnacle MMA · Redlands, California
VSSettled
Blue corner LerryanDouglasParanagua, Parana
Featherweight3 rounds22 Aug 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Lands 3.6 more significant strikes a minute than Emmers.
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
23-8
Record
14-6
37
Age
−6 yr31
+1″5' 10"
Height
5' 9"
+2″74″
Reach
72″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+89
UFC bouts
1
2/540% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Redlands, California
From
Paranagua, Parana
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Lerryan Douglas
64.3% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 44%
Vs the market−12.4pp
Market had our pick at77%
The fight
Jamall Emmers
LOSS
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock3:38
Missed We called Lerryan Douglas at 64.3%Jamall Emmers won. The method call missed as well.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 13:38 of action⚡ 1 KD EmmersEnded 3:38
Jamall Emmers17 sig landed
HEAD59%10 of 20BODY12%2 of 3LEGS29%5 of 6
Lerryan Douglas14 sig landed
HEAD43%6 of 17BODY7%1 of 2LEGS50%7 of 8
17 of 29
Sig.
strikes
14 of 27
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:02
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 14Clinch 1Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Jamall Emmers

Round
1
Clock
3:38
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

Jamall Emmers

The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.

2.59takedowns / 15 min
FightIQ read Efficient shot 2.59 takedowns per 15 minutes at 53% completion — +10pp on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS68
2.59 / 15m+0.23 vs field
ATTEMPTS49
4.89 / 15m−0.98 vs field
ACCURACY78
53%+10pp vs field
SUB ATT19
0.30 / 15m−0.97 vs field

Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.

Jamall EmmersLerryan DouglasPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas — implied win chance over timeLine chart. Market-implied win chance for Jamall Emmers and Lerryan Douglas from Aug 13 to Aug 22, drawn from Polymarket and the sportsbook consensus. Jamall Emmers moves from 60% to 24% and Lerryan Douglas from 40% to 76%. A gold marker sits at the first snapshot in this window — our pick was frozen before the window opened, not at that price.15%25%35%45%55%65%75%85%Aug 13Aug 15Aug 18Aug 20Aug 22▲ we flagged Lerryan Douglas (HIGH) here24%76%

From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Lerryan Douglas's implied chance moved up from 40% to 76% (+37.0pp). Our pick was frozen at the model cutoff, before this window opened — so the gold marker sits at the first snapshot we hold, not at a price we were reacting to.

This series stops at Aug 22 23:18Z — the last capture we hold from before the bout that ran ahead of this one on the card had finished — so it is provably from before this fight started. Our capture window is card-level and kept running through the fight, so what follows it in the raw file is the market collapsing live and then paying out at 1.00 / 0.00. That is a settlement, not price history: it is not drawn, and it is not counted in the figures below.

Our published call had Lerryan Douglas at 64.3%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had him at 76.5% — our number sat 12.2pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
SeriesOpenLowHighLast pre-fightMove
Jamall Emmers — sportsbook consensus26.7%21.7%26.7%23.3%−3.3pp
Lerryan Douglas — sportsbook consensus73.3%73.3%78.3%76.7%+3.3pp
Jamall Emmers — Polymarket60.5%21.5%61.5%23.5%−37.0pp
Lerryan Douglas — Polymarket39.5%38.5%78.5%76.5%+37.0pp
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 2,326 snapshots on file · window Aug 13 15:15Aug 22 23:12Z · last capture Aug 22, 23:12Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.
← Back to the public record