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Events · Song vs Figueiredo · Deiveson Figueiredo vs Song Yadong
Red corner DeivesonFigueiredo“Deus da Guerra”Team Figueiredo · Soure, Para
VSSettled
Blue corner SongYadong“Kung Fu Kid”
Bantamweight5 rounds30 May 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 8 of 14 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 6 of 11 UFC wins.
  • 21 UFC bouts deep — 5 more than Yadong.
  • Lands 1.8 more significant strikes a minute than Figueiredo.
25-7-1
Record
24-9-1
38
Age
−10 yr28
5' 5"
Height
+3″5' 8"
+1″68″
Reach
67″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+521
UFC bouts
16
+3%8/1457% of wins
Finishes
6/1155% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Song Yadong
78.7% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 58%
Vs the market−3.5pp
Market had our pick at82%
The fight
Song Yadong
WIN
How it endedSUB
Round2 of 5
Clock4:42
Called it We called Song Yadong at 78.7% and Song Yadong won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Deiveson Figueiredo6 sig landed
HEAD17%1 of 1BODY67%4 of 4LEGS17%1 of 1
Song Yadong9 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 9BODY11%1 of 3LEGS89%8 of 10
6 of 6
Sig.
strikes
9 of 22
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:28
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 24:42 of action1 sub attemptEnded 4:42
Deiveson Figueiredo3 sig landed
HEAD33%1 of 7BODY33%1 of 3LEGS33%1 of 1
Song Yadong15 sig landed
HEAD40%6 of 20BODY20%3 of 4LEGS40%6 of 6
3 of 11
Sig.
strikes
15 of 30
1 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:07
Control
0:03
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 1Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Song Yadong

Round
2
Clock
4:42
Method
SUB

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Deiveson Figueiredo

1.61takedowns / 15 min
1.61 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.78 / 15m
4.60 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.00 / 15m
35%
ACCURACY
39%
1.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Song Yadong

0.78takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. The gold marker is where our pick was frozen.

Deiveson FigueiredoSong YadongPolymarketSportsbook consensus (vig removed)
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Song Yadong — implied win chance over timeLine chart. Market-implied win chance for Deiveson Figueiredo and Song Yadong from May 26 to May 30, drawn from Polymarket and the sportsbook consensus. Deiveson Figueiredo moves from 80% to 18% and Song Yadong from 20% to 82%. A gold marker sits at the first snapshot in this window — our pick was frozen before the window opened, not at that price.10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30▲ we flagged Song Yadong (HIGH) here18%82%

From the open the market drifted toward our pick: Song Yadong's implied chance moved up from 20% to 82% (+62.0pp). Our pick was frozen at the model cutoff, before this window opened — so the gold marker sits at the first snapshot we hold, not at a price we were reacting to.

This series stops at May 30 13:18Z — the last capture we hold from before the bout that ran ahead of this one on the card had finished — so it is provably from before this fight started. Our capture window is card-level and kept running through the fight, so what follows it in the raw file is the market collapsing live and then paying out at 1.00 / 0.00. That is a settlement, not price history: it is not drawn, and it is not counted in the figures below.

Our published call had Song Yadong at 78.7%. At the last price we captured before the fight, the de-vigged market had him at 81.5% — our number sat 2.8pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
SeriesOpenLowHighLast pre-fightMove
Deiveson Figueiredo — sportsbook consensus18.5%16.6%19.5%19.5%+1.0pp
Song Yadong — sportsbook consensus81.5%80.5%83.5%80.5%−1.0pp
Deiveson Figueiredo — Polymarket80.5%17.5%80.5%18.5%−62.0pp
Song Yadong — Polymarket19.5%19.5%82.5%81.5%+62.0pp
Price history from Polymarket (moneyline, both corners) and BestFightOdds (sportsbook consensus, vig removed). 1,054 snapshots on file · window May 26 19:54May 30 13:12Z · last capture May 30, 13:12Z · hourly-downsampled for the chart · read at build time from the price archive, not a live feed.
← Back to the public record