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Events · UFC 327: Procházka vs Ulberg · Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg
Red corner JiriProchazkaJetsaam Gym Brno · Hosteradice
VSSettled
Blue corner CarlosUlberg“Black Jag”City Kickboxing · Auckland
Light Heavyweight Title5 rounds11 Apr 2026
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 9-fight win streak.
  • Every one of Prochazka’s 6 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Has finished 6 of 9 UFC wins.
32-6-1
Record
15-1
−2 yr33
Age
35
6' 3"
Height
+1″6' 4"
+3″80″
Reach
77″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
8
UFC bouts
+210
+33%6/6100% of wins
Finishes
6/967% of wins
Jetsaam Gym Brno
Gym
City Kickboxing
Hosteradice
From
Auckland
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Jiri Prochazka
52.3% confidentTOSS-UP
Method calledKO/TKO 69%
Vs the market+0.6pp
Market had our pick at52%
The fight
Carlos Ulberg
LOSS
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 5
Clock3:45
Missed We called Jiri Prochazka at 52.3%Carlos Ulberg won. We had the method right and the man wrong.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 13:45 of action⚡ 1 KD UlbergEnded 3:45
Jiri Prochazka14 sig landed
HEAD43%6 of 11BODY7%1 of 1LEGS50%7 of 8
Carlos Ulberg27 sig landed
HEAD78%21 of 35BODY4%1 of 2LEGS19%5 of 5
14 of 20
Sig.
strikes
27 of 42
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:04
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 11

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Carlos Ulberg

Round
1
Clock
3:45
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jiri Prochazka

0.49takedowns / 15 min
0.49 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.53 / 15m
0.82 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.88 / 15m
60%
ACCURACY
60%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Carlos Ulberg

0.53takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jiri Prochazka↑ +9.2pp
open 39.3%close 48.5%
Carlos Ulberg↓ −9.2pp
open 60.7%close 51.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jiri Prochazka opened at 39.3% and closed at 48.5% (+9.2pp), with Carlos Ulberg moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Our published call had Jiri Prochazka at 52.3%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 48.5% — our number sat 3.8pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jiri Prochazka145-10339.3%48.5%+9.2pp
Carlos Ulberg-170-11760.7%51.5%−9.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record