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Events · UFC Fight Night: Jones vs Sola · Shanelle Dyer vs Ravena Oliveira
Red corner ShanelleDyerGreat Britain Top Team · London, Greater London
VSSettled
Blue corner RavenaOliveiraLife MMA · Miguel Calmon, Bahia
Women's Strawweight Bout3 rounds21 Mar 2026
The story going in
  • Lands 5.8 more significant strikes a minute than Oliveira.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
8-1
Record
7-5-1
−5 yr24
Age
29
+1″5' 6"
Height
5' 5"
65″
Reach
65″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Great Britain Top Team
Gym
Life MMA
London, Greater London
From
Miguel Calmon, Bahia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Shanelle Dyer
73.4% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 56%
Vs the market−4.3pp
Market had our pick at78%
The fight
Shanelle Dyer
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round2 of 3
Clock1:17
Called it We called Shanelle Dyer at 73.4% and Shanelle Dyer won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Shanelle Dyer32 sig landed
HEAD41%13 of 24BODY25%8 of 8LEGS34%11 of 15
Ravena Oliveira20 sig landed
HEAD55%11 of 54BODY40%8 of 9LEGS5%1 of 4
32 of 47
Sig.
strikes
20 of 67
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:28
Control
0:05
Distance 28Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 0
Round 21:17 of actionEnded 1:17
Shanelle Dyer17 sig landed
HEAD53%9 of 18BODY29%5 of 9LEGS18%3 of 4
Ravena Oliveira6 sig landed
HEAD83%5 of 11BODY17%1 of 1LEGS0%0 of 1
17 of 31
Sig.
strikes
6 of 13
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:06
Control
0:07
Distance 7Clinch 4Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Shanelle Dyer

Round
2
Clock
1:17
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Lukasz Bosacki.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Shanelle Dyer

0.70takedowns / 15 min
0.70 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.88 / 15m
8.75 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.76 / 15m
8%
ACCURACY
50%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Ravena Oliveira

0.88takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.04 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Strawweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Shanelle Dyer↑ +15.8pp
open 64.3%close 80.0%
Ravena Oliveira↓ −15.8pp
open 35.7%close 20.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Shanelle Dyer opened at 64.3% and closed at 80.0% (+15.8pp), with Ravena Oliveira moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Our published call had Shanelle Dyer at 73.4%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 80.0% — our number sat 6.6pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Shanelle Dyer-200-51664.3%80.0%+15.8pp
Ravena Oliveira17037935.7%20.0%−15.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-08-30. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record