Round 1⚡ 1 KD BellatoEnded 2:42
16 of 33
Sig.
strikes
strikes
30 of 46
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:22
Control
0:11
0
Knock-
downs
downs
1
Distance 9Clinch 7Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 9Clinch 1Ground 20
VSSettled
The story going in
- Lands 2.8 more significant strikes a minute than Bellato.
- Carries 94 points more takedown defence than Fernandez.
6-1
Record
13-3-1
30
Age
30
6' 1"
Height
+2″6' 3"
+1″76″
Reach
75″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dante Rivera BJJ
Gym
KO Squad MMA
Forked River, New Jersey
From
Sorocaba, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Luke Fernandez
57.2% confidentLOW
The fight
Rodolfo Bellato
LOSS✓
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Rodolfo Bellato
Round
1
Clock
2:42
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Kerry Hatley.
Takedowns
Takedowns
Rodolfo Bellato
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
FightIQ read
Takedowns in the mix
1.38 landed per 15 minutes — −0.89 on the field average — a real part of the arsenal, not the whole of it.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS43
1.38 / 15m−0.89 vs field
ATTEMPTS46
3.94 / 15m−1.49 vs field
ACCURACY38
35%−8pp vs field
SUB ATT17
0.20 / 15m−1.39 vs field
TD DEFENCE85
94%+32pp vs field
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Ranked in Light Heavyweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Luke Fernandez↑ +13.1pp
open 53.2%close 66.3%
Rodolfo Bellato↓ −13.1pp
open 46.8%close 33.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Luke Fernandez opened at 53.2% and closed at 66.3% (+13.1pp), with Rodolfo Bellato moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Our published call had Luke Fernandez at 57.2%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 66.3% — our number sat 9.1pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Fernandez | -125 | -232 | 53.2% | 66.3% | +13.1pp |
| Rodolfo Bellato | 105 | 182 | 46.8% | 33.7% | −13.1pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.