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Events · UFC Fight Night: Leavitt vs Valle · Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa
Red corner DanIge“50K”Xtreme Couture · Honolulu, Hawaii
VSSettled
Blue corner MelquizaelCosta“Melk Cauthy”Chute Boxe Joao Emilio · Porto de Moz, Para
Featherweight Bout3 rounds21 Feb 2026
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 11 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 5-fight win streak.
  • 20 UFC bouts deep — 12 more than Costa.
  • Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
19-11
Record
26-8
34
Age
−5 yr29
5' 7"
Height
+3″5' 10"
71″
Reach
71″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+1220
UFC bouts
8
+5%6/1155% of wins
Finishes
3/650% of wins
Xtreme Couture
Gym
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio
Honolulu, Hawaii
From
Porto de Moz, Para
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Melquizael Costa
71.9% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 56%
Vs the market+5.9pp
Market had our pick at66%
The fight
Melquizael Costa
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock4:56
Called it We called Melquizael Costa at 71.9% and Melquizael Costa won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 14:56 of action⚡ 1 KD CostaEnded 4:56
Dan Ige7 sig landed
HEAD29%2 of 5BODY29%2 of 3LEGS43%3 of 3
Melquizael Costa19 sig landed
HEAD47%9 of 26BODY37%7 of 9LEGS16%3 of 5
7 of 11
Sig.
strikes
19 of 40
1 of 3
Take-
downs
1 of 1
1:31
Control
0:32
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 4Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Melquizael Costa

Round
1
Clock
4:56
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jacob Montalvo.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Dan Ige

0.93takedowns / 15 min
0.93 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.53 / 15m
3.58 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.37 / 15m
26%
ACCURACY
35%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.80 / 15m

Melquizael Costa

1.53takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Dan Ige↓ −15.4pp
open 46.8%close 31.4%
Melquizael Costa↑ +15.4pp
open 53.2%close 68.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Dan Ige opened at 46.8% and closed at 31.4% (−15.4pp), with Melquizael Costa moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Our published call had Melquizael Costa at 71.9%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 68.6% — our number sat 3.3pp above the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Dan Ige10520446.8%31.4%−15.4pp
Melquizael Costa-125-25753.2%68.6%+15.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2026-02-22 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record