Round 1
11 of 36
Sig.
strikes
strikes
21 of 49
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 2
0:35
Control
1:05
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 16Clinch 5Ground 0
VSSettled
10-1
Record
12-5
−2 yr26
Age
28
6' 0"
Height
6' 0"
+5″77″
Reach
72″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
+34
0/10% of wins
Finishes
1/333% of wins
Combat 1 MMA
Gym
Shore MMA
Melbourne, Victoria
From
Merthyr Tydfil
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
The call vs the fight
What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.
Our call
Jonathan Micallef
53.6% confidentTOSS-UP
The fight
Jonathan Micallef
WIN✗
Graded against the official UFC result, from
the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict
is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads
as one. See the full public record →
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 21 sub attemptEnded 3:31
8 of 23
Sig.
strikes
strikes
19 of 33
1 of 1
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
1:00
Control
0:06
1
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Jonathan Micallef
Round
2
Clock
3:31
Method
SUB
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Marc Goddard.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Jonathan Micallef
1.08 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.52 / 15m
2.57 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.80 / 15m
42%
ACCURACY
40%
0.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m
66%
TD DEFENCE
52%
Oban Elliott
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Welterweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Jonathan Micallef↑ +4.0pp
open 50.0%close 54.0%
Oban Elliott↓ −4.0pp
open 50.0%close 46.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Jonathan Micallef opened at 50.0% and closed at 54.0% (+4.0pp), with Oban Elliott moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Our published call had Jonathan Micallef at 53.6%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 54.0% — our number sat 0.4pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Micallef | -110 | -131 | 50.0% | 54.0% | +4.0pp |
| Oban Elliott | -110 | 107 | 50.0% | 46.0% | −4.0pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2026-02-01 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.