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Events · UFC Fight Night: Acosta vs Lewis · Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller
Red corner AdamFugittFight Ready · Eugene, Oregon
VSSettled
Blue corner TyMiller
Welterweight Bout3 rounds24 Jan 2026
The story going in
  • Averages 1.6 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Miller.
  • Lands 2.3 more significant strikes a minute than Fugitt.
10-6
Record
8-0
37
Age
−12 yr25
6' 1"
Height
+1″6' 2"
77″
Reach
77″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

The call vs the fight

What we published before the card, next to what happened in the cage.

Our call
Ty Miller
76.0% confidentHIGH
Method calledDEC 39%
Vs the market+0.3pp
Market had our pick at76%
The fight
Ty Miller
WIN
How it endedKO/TKO
Round1 of 3
Clock4:59
Called it We called Ty Miller at 76.0% and Ty Miller won. The method call missed.
Graded against the official UFC result, from the same record every other page on this site is graded from. The tick beside the verdict is the method call — a correct winner with a wrong method is a partial hit and reads as one. See the full public record →

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 14:59 of action⚡ 1 KD MillerEnded 4:59
Adam Fugitt36 sig landed
HEAD28%10 of 42BODY58%21 of 26LEGS14%5 of 5
Ty Miller59 sig landed
HEAD93%55 of 115BODY7%4 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
36 of 73
Sig.
strikes
59 of 121
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:03
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 30Clinch 6Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 55Clinch 3Ground 1

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Ty Miller

Round
1
Clock
4:59
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Chris Tognoni.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Adam Fugitt

1.63takedowns / 15 min
1.63 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m
7.41 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
n/a
22%
ACCURACY
n/a
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Ty Miller

0.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Adam Fugittclose only
no opening line on recordclose 20.7%
Ty Millerclose only
no opening line on recordclose 79.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Adam Fugitt 20.7%, Ty Miller 79.3%, vig removed.

Our published call had Ty Miller at 76.0%. At the closing consensus, the de-vigged market had him at 79.3% — our number sat 3.3pp below the market’s. Two numbers, side by side. How our calls have actually done is the public record, not one bout.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Adam Fugitt25036020.7%
Ty Miller-49079.3%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Ty Miller, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Back to the public record