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History · 2025 · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov
From the tape · 6 Dec 2025

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

No winner recorded The official record carries no winner for this bout — a draw, a no-contest or an overturned result.

Method
Decision - Majority
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JanBlachowiczWCA Fight Team · Cieszyn
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BogdanGuskov“Czarevitch”GOR MMA · Dukent
Light Heavyweight3 rounds6 Dec 2025
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 7 of 12 UFC wins.
  • Every one of Guskov’s 4 UFC wins came inside the distance.
29-12-2
Record
18-4-1
42
Age
−9 yr33
6' 2"
Height
+1″6' 3"
+2″78″
Reach
76″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1621
UFC bouts
5
7/1258% of wins
Finishes
+42%4/4100% of wins
WCA Fight Team
Gym
GOR MMA
Cieszyn
From
Dukent
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Jan Blachowicz25 sig landed
HEAD52%13 of 35BODY12%3 of 6LEGS36%9 of 11
Bogdan Guskov21 sig landed
HEAD48%10 of 32BODY10%2 of 3LEGS43%9 of 9
25 of 52
Sig.
strikes
21 of 44
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Guskov1 sub attempt
Jan Blachowicz11 sig landed
HEAD64%7 of 9BODY9%1 of 1LEGS27%3 of 3
Bogdan Guskov32 sig landed
HEAD100%32 of 51BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
11 of 13
Sig.
strikes
32 of 51
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
4:09
0
Knock-
downs
1
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 28
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.
Round 35:00 of action⚡ 1 KD BlachowiczEnded 5:00
Jan Blachowicz48 sig landed
HEAD75%36 of 68BODY15%7 of 10LEGS10%5 of 6
Bogdan Guskov27 sig landed
HEAD100%27 of 44BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 of 1
48 of 84
Sig.
strikes
27 of 45
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:08
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 38Clinch 2Ground 8
Where it
happened
Distance 27Clinch 0Ground 0
JudgesNo per-round card for this bout in our decisions source — the judges’ totals are in the scorecards section below.

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

Judges’ scorecards

The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.

Official card

Decision - Majority

Referee · Jason Herzog
Official totals — unassigned
JudgeTotal
Judge 128–29
Judge 228–28
Judge 328–28

There is no per-round card for this bout in our decisions source, so the judges’ totals are all we can show. This one is inside the window our source covers — it is a gap in the record, not a scrape we are waiting on, and nothing here is estimated to fill it.

The record does not say which fighter each of these totals belongs to, so the judges are shown unnamed and the scores unassigned. We would rather print less than attribute a card to the wrong man.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jan Blachowicz

0.98takedowns / 15 min
0.98 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m
2.04 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
n/a
48%
ACCURACY
n/a
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Bogdan Guskov

0.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jan Blachowicz↓ −10.6pp
open 58.0%close 47.4%
Bogdan Guskov↑ +10.6pp
open 42.0%close 52.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jan Blachowicz opened at 58.0% and closed at 47.4% (−10.6pp), with Bogdan Guskov moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jan Blachowicz-15010158.0%47.4%−10.6pp
Bogdan Guskov130-12342.0%52.6%+10.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-12-07 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-08-30. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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