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History · 2025 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden
From the tape · 1 Nov 2025

Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Allan Nascimento beat Cody Durden

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 3
Clock
3:13
Catch WeightMain cardReferee · Mark Smith

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AllanNascimento“Puro Osso”Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
VSOn the tape
Blue corner CodyDurden“Custom Made”American Top Team Atlanta · Covington, Georgia
Catch Weight3 rounds1 Nov 2025
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Is 11 points more accurate striking than Durden.
  • Has finished 2 of 6 UFC wins.
22-7
Record
18-11-1
34
Age
34
+1″5' 8"
Height
5' 7"
+2″69″
Reach
67″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
4
UFC bouts
+913
1/333% of wins
Finishes
2/633% of wins
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
From
Covington, Georgia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Allan Nascimento26 sig landed
HEAD27%7 of 31BODY12%3 of 9LEGS62%16 of 18
Cody Durden36 sig landed
HEAD78%28 of 61BODY14%5 of 8LEGS8%3 of 4
26 of 58
Sig.
strikes
36 of 73
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
0:03
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 25Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 36Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 23:13 of action1 sub attemptEnded 3:13
Allan Nascimento26 sig landed
HEAD46%12 of 38BODY15%4 of 8LEGS38%10 of 11
Cody Durden21 sig landed
HEAD90%19 of 51BODY0%0 of 1LEGS10%2 of 3
26 of 57
Sig.
strikes
21 of 55
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:21
Control
0:02
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 26Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Allan Nascimento

Round
2
Clock
3:13
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mark Smith.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Allan Nascimento

1.26takedowns / 15 min
1.26 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.99 / 15m
5.48 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
8.14 / 15m
23%
ACCURACY
49%
1.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Cody Durden

3.99takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Allan Nascimento↑ +0.8pp
open 72.4%close 73.2%
Cody Durden↓ −0.8pp
open 27.6%close 26.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Allan Nascimento opened at 72.4% and closed at 73.2% (+0.8pp), with Cody Durden moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Allan Nascimento-300-32472.4%73.2%+0.8pp
Cody Durden25025727.6%26.8%−0.8pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-08-02. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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