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History · 2025 · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern
From the tape · 25 Oct 2025

Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Mackenzie Dern beat Virna Jandiroba

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
5 of 5
Clock
5:00
Women's Strawweight TitleTitle fightCo-MainReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner VirnaJandiroba“Carcara”Serrinha, Bahia
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MackenzieDernRVCA · Phoenix, Arizona
Women's Strawweight Title5 rounds25 Oct 2025
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 4 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 5 of 10 UFC wins.
23-4
Record
17-5
37
Age
−5 yr32
5' 3"
Height
+1″5' 4"
+1″64″
Reach
63″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11
UFC bouts
+415
4/850% of wins
Finishes
5/1050% of wins
Serrinha, Bahia
From
Phoenix, Arizona
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Virna Jandiroba27 sig landed
HEAD33%9 of 25BODY48%13 of 15LEGS19%5 of 5
Mackenzie Dern20 sig landed
HEAD60%12 of 27BODY20%4 of 5LEGS20%4 of 4
27 of 45
Sig.
strikes
20 of 36
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:57
Control
0:29
Distance 18Clinch 8Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 2Ground 2
Judges · this round · Jandiroba firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Virna Jandiroba14 sig landed
HEAD79%11 of 31BODY7%1 of 1LEGS14%2 of 2
Mackenzie Dern19 sig landed
HEAD84%16 of 40BODY16%3 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
14 of 34
Sig.
strikes
19 of 44
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 2
2:24
Control
0:17
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 2Ground 4
Judges · this round · Jandiroba firstMichael Bell10–9Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 35:00 of action
Virna Jandiroba14 sig landed
HEAD100%14 of 25BODY0%0 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Mackenzie Dern18 sig landed
HEAD72%13 of 26BODY22%4 of 5LEGS6%1 of 1
14 of 27
Sig.
strikes
18 of 32
2 of 6
Take-
downs
0 of 3
2:09
Control
1:14
Distance 7Clinch 6Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 2Ground 4
Judges · this round · Jandiroba firstMichael Bell10–9Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee10–9
Round 45:00 of action
Virna Jandiroba28 sig landed
HEAD71%20 of 49BODY11%3 of 4LEGS18%5 of 5
Mackenzie Dern26 sig landed
HEAD65%17 of 52BODY15%4 of 5LEGS19%5 of 5
28 of 58
Sig.
strikes
26 of 62
1 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:13
Control
1:30
Distance 26Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Jandiroba firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Virna Jandiroba23 sig landed
HEAD78%18 of 47BODY13%3 of 3LEGS9%2 of 3
Mackenzie Dern35 sig landed
HEAD74%26 of 48BODY17%6 of 6LEGS9%3 of 3
23 of 53
Sig.
strikes
35 of 57
2 of 3
Take-
downs
1 of 1
2:24
Control
0:15
Distance 20Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 23Clinch 1Ground 11
Judges · this round · Jandiroba firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Virna JandirobaMackenzie Dern
Official totals — Virna Jandiroba first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell47–48
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide46–49
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide47–48

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 20 scored, Virna Jandiroba first · unofficial

Dan Levi Best Fight Picks46–49
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com46–49
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com46–49
Alex Behunin MMA Mania46–49
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com46–49
Jake Noecker Home of Fight46–49
MM AMania.com46–49
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection46–49
Sheehan SevereMMA.com46–49
Drake Riggs Uncrowned46–49
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com46–49
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com46–49
MM A Latinoamerica47–48
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News47–48
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com47–48
Steve Duncan mma.uno47–48
Nick Baldwin theScore47–48
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com47–48
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com47–48
Alexander K. Lee MMAFighting.com47–48

Fan vote · unofficial

49-46 Dern · 33%48-47 Dern · 29%48-47 Jandiroba · 20%50-45 Dern · 9%49-46 Jandiroba · 7%

187 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Virna Jandiroba

3.13takedowns / 15 min
3.13 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.93 / 15m
8.03 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.17 / 15m
39%
ACCURACY
18%
1.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.10 / 15m

Mackenzie Dern

0.93takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.04 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Strawweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Virna Jandiroba↓ −20.0pp
open 64.3%close 44.3%
Mackenzie Dern↑ +20.0pp
open 35.7%close 55.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Virna Jandiroba opened at 64.3% and closed at 44.3% (−20.0pp), with Mackenzie Dern moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Virna Jandiroba-21511564.3%44.3%−20.0pp
Mackenzie Dern164-14135.7%55.7%+20.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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