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History · 2025 · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo
From the tape · 25 Oct 2025

Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Mitch Raposo beat Azat Maksum

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FlyweightMain cardReferee · Rich Mitchell

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AzatMaksum“Qazaq”Octagon Fight Team · Kaskelen
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MitchRaposoRegiment Training Center · Fall River, Massachusetts
Flyweight3 rounds25 Oct 2025
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 24 points more takedown defence than Raposo.
  • Is 9 points more accurate striking than Maksum.
15-3
Record
11-3
30
Age
−3 yr27
+2″5' 7"
Height
5' 5"
+6″70″
Reach
64″
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
+13
UFC bouts
2
Octagon Fight Team
Gym
Regiment Training Center
Kaskelen
From
Fall River, Massachusetts
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Azat Maksum4 sig landed
HEAD25%1 of 22BODY0%0 of 1LEGS75%3 of 4
Mitch Raposo4 sig landed
HEAD50%2 of 14BODY50%2 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
4 of 27
Sig.
strikes
4 of 18
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:18
Control
0:00
Distance 3Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Maksum firstBen Cartlidge9–10Tony Weeks10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Azat Maksum12 sig landed
HEAD83%10 of 32BODY8%1 of 1LEGS8%1 of 1
Mitch Raposo17 sig landed
HEAD59%10 of 16BODY24%4 of 6LEGS18%3 of 3
12 of 34
Sig.
strikes
17 of 25
3 of 6
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:24
Control
0:04
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Maksum firstBen Cartlidge9–10Tony Weeks9–10Clemens Werner9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Azat Maksum3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 26BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Mitch Raposo9 sig landed
HEAD89%8 of 20BODY11%1 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
3 of 27
Sig.
strikes
9 of 23
3 of 11
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:45
Control
0:45
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Maksum firstBen Cartlidge8–10Tony Weeks8–10Clemens Werner8–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Rich Mitchell
Azat MaksumMitch Raposo
Official totals — Azat Maksum first
JudgeTotal
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide26–30
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide27–29
Clemens Werner2.1 avg spread · 50% wide27–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 12 scored, Azat Maksum first · unofficial

Dayne Fox Sherdog.com27–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–29
Combat Press.com27–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–29
Jake Noecker Home of Fight27–29
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com27–29
MM AMania.com27–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com27–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com27–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-27 Raposo · 58%29-27 Maksum · 9%29-28 Raposo · 9%30-26 Raposo · 6%

33 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Azat Maksum

3.50takedowns / 15 min
3.50 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.54 / 15m
11.29 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
6.86 / 15m
31%
ACCURACY
37%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Mitch Raposo

2.54takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Azat Maksum↑ +9.4pp
open 68.9%close 78.3%
Mitch Raposo↓ −9.4pp
open 31.1%close 21.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Azat Maksum opened at 68.9% and closed at 78.3% (+9.4pp), with Mitch Raposo moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Azat Maksum-250-49968.9%78.3%+9.4pp
Mitch Raposo21033431.1%21.7%−9.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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