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History · 2025 · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida
From the tape · 25 Oct 2025

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Alexander Volkov beat Jailton Almeida

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AlexanderVolkov“Drago”Strela Team · Moscow
VSOn the tape
Blue corner JailtonAlmeida“Malhadinho”Galpao da Luta · Salvador, Bahia
Heavyweight3 rounds25 Oct 2025
The story going in
  • Has finished 7 of 12 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • 17 UFC bouts deep — 8 more than Almeida.
  • Has finished 7 of 8 UFC wins.
40-11
Record
22-5
37
Age
−3 yr34
+4″6' 7"
Height
6' 3"
+1″80″
Reach
79″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+817
UFC bouts
9
7/1258% of wins
Finishes
+29%7/888% of wins
Strela Team
Gym
Galpao da Luta
Moscow
From
Salvador, Bahia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Alexander Volkov15 sig landed
HEAD100%15 of 15BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Jailton Almeida0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 landedBODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed

15 of 15
Sig.
strikes
0 of 0
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
2:14
Control
2:38
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 15
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Volkov firstMichael Bell10–9Tony Weeks10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Alexander Volkov2 sig landed
HEAD100%2 of 4BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Jailton Almeida4 sig landed
HEAD100%4 of 5BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
2 of 4
Sig.
strikes
4 of 5
0 of 0
Take-
downs
3 of 4
0:00
Control
4:27
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 3
Judges · this round · Volkov firstMichael Bell9–10Tony Weeks9–10Clemens Werner9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Alexander Volkov7 sig landed
HEAD29%2 of 2BODY71%5 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
Jailton Almeida5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 4BODY20%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
7 of 8
Sig.
strikes
5 of 5
0 of 0
Take-
downs
3 of 3
0:43
Control
3:42
Distance 1Clinch 6Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 4Ground 1
Judges · this round · Volkov firstMichael Bell9–10Tony Weeks10–9Clemens Werner10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Alexander VolkovJailton Almeida
Official totals — Alexander Volkov first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell28–29
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide29–28
Clemens Werner2.1 avg spread · 50% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 19 scored, Alexander Volkov first · unofficial

Nick Baldwin theScore29–28
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com29–28
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com29–28
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–28
Sheehan SevereMMA.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
Drake Riggs Uncrowned29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Chris De Santiago BloodyElbow.com29–28
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News29–28
Alexander K. Lee MMAFighting.com28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Jed Meshew MMAFighting.com28–29
MM A Latinoamerica28–29
Jake Noecker Home of Fight28–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Volkov · 66%29-28 Almeida · 27%30-27 Volkov · 3%30-27 Almeida · 1%

544 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Alexander Volkov

0.54takedowns / 15 min
0.54 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
5.64 / 15m
0.87 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
10.25 / 15m
62%
ACCURACY
55%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.70 / 15m

Jailton Almeida

5.64takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.77 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Alexander Volkov↑ +6.1pp
open 31.1%close 37.2%
Jailton Almeida↓ −6.1pp
open 68.9%close 62.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Alexander Volkov opened at 31.1% and closed at 37.2% (+6.1pp), with Jailton Almeida moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Alexander Volkov21015831.1%37.2%+6.1pp
Jailton Almeida-250-19068.9%62.8%−6.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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