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History · 2025 · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker
From the tape · 4 Oct 2025

Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Veronica Hardy beat Brogan Walker

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner VeronicaHardyRenzo Gracie Academy · Caracas, Capital District
VSOn the tape
BW
Blue corner BroganWalker“The Bear”Hagatna
Women's Flyweight3 rounds4 Oct 2025
The story going in
  • 9 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Walker.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Carries 40 points more takedown defence than Walker.
10-5-1
Record
8-5
−8 yr29
Age
37
5' 4"
Height
5' 4"
64″
Reach
+3″67″
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
+79
UFC bouts
2
Caracas, Capital District
From
Hagatna
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action1 sub attempt
Veronica Hardy9 sig landed
HEAD89%8 of 19BODY0%0 landedLEGS11%1 of 1
Brogan Walker7 sig landed
HEAD14%1 of 9BODY29%2 of 2LEGS57%4 of 4
9 of 20
Sig.
strikes
7 of 15
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
2:36
Control
1:11
0
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 1Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 2Ground 3
Judges · this round · Hardy firstMichael Bell10–9Derek Cleary10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Hardy
Veronica Hardy16 sig landed
HEAD75%12 of 24BODY12%2 of 3LEGS12%2 of 2
Brogan Walker8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 21BODY12%1 of 1LEGS25%2 of 3
16 of 29
Sig.
strikes
8 of 25
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
0:13
1
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 14Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 1
Judges · this round · Hardy firstMichael Bell10–9Derek Cleary10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Veronica Hardy14 sig landed
HEAD79%11 of 22BODY0%0 of 1LEGS21%3 of 3
Brogan Walker7 sig landed
HEAD86%6 of 19BODY0%0 landedLEGS14%1 of 1
14 of 26
Sig.
strikes
7 of 20
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
1:31
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 13Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Hardy firstMichael Bell10–9Derek Cleary10–9Clemens Werner10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Veronica HardyBrogan Walker
Official totals — Veronica Hardy first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell30–27
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide30–27
Clemens Werner2.1 avg spread · 50% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 12 scored, Veronica Hardy first · unofficial

Augusto Cipollini MMA Latinoamerica30–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno30–27
Dominik Durniat ddreporter Tv30–27
Jake Noecker Home of Fight30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com30–27
Scottie Smith Sherdog.com30–27
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Hardy · 58%29-28 Hardy · 21%30-25 Hardy · 10%30-26 Hardy · 10%

19 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Veronica Hardy

0.82takedowns / 15 min
0.82 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.02 / 15m
2.00 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.36 / 15m
41%
ACCURACY
75%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Brogan Walker

1.02takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Veronica Hardy↑ +5.5pp
open 79.2%close 84.7%
Brogan Walker↓ −5.5pp
open 20.8%close 15.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Veronica Hardy opened at 79.2% and closed at 84.7% (+5.5pp), with Brogan Walker moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Veronica Hardy-549-76679.2%84.7%+5.5pp
Brogan Walker35052520.8%15.3%−5.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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