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History · 2025 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato
From the tape · 27 Sep 2025

Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Result

Navajo Stirling beat Rodolfo Bellato

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Mike Beltran

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner NavajoStirlingCity Kickboxing · Auckland
VSOn the tape
Blue corner RodolfoBellato“Trator”KO Squad MMA · Sorocaba, Sao Paulo
Light Heavyweight3 rounds27 Sep 2025
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Is 8 points more accurate striking than Stirling.
  • Carries 12 points more striking defence than Bellato.
11-0
Record
13-3-1
−2 yr27
Age
29
+1″6' 4"
Height
6' 3"
+4″79″
Reach
75″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
UFC bouts
+13
0/20% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
City Kickboxing
Gym
KO Squad MMA
Auckland
From
Sorocaba, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Navajo Stirling37 sig landed
HEAD57%21 of 37BODY41%15 of 23LEGS3%1 of 2
Rodolfo Bellato15 sig landed
HEAD27%4 of 17BODY33%5 of 10LEGS40%6 of 6
37 of 62
Sig.
strikes
15 of 33
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:58
Control
0:40
Distance 32Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 13Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Stirling firstEvan Field10–9Nathan Pintabona10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Navajo Stirling16 sig landed
HEAD69%11 of 29BODY31%5 of 10LEGS0%0 landed
Rodolfo Bellato6 sig landed
HEAD83%5 of 17BODY17%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
16 of 39
Sig.
strikes
6 of 19
1 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
2:52
Control
0:19
Distance 12Clinch 3Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Stirling firstEvan Field10–9Nathan Pintabona10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Navajo Stirling28 sig landed
HEAD43%12 of 36BODY54%15 of 20LEGS4%1 of 1
Rodolfo Bellato22 sig landed
HEAD55%12 of 26BODY27%6 of 7LEGS18%4 of 4
28 of 57
Sig.
strikes
22 of 37
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 5
0:03
Control
1:24
Distance 26Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Stirling firstEvan Field9–10Nathan Pintabona10–9Clemens Werner10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Mike Beltran
Navajo StirlingRodolfo Bellato
Official totals — Navajo Stirling first
JudgeTotal
Evan Field2.2 avg spread · 48% wide29–28
Nathan Pintabona30–27
Clemens Werner2.1 avg spread · 50% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 14 scored, Navajo Stirling first · unofficial

Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks30–27
Jake Noecker Home of Fight30–27
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com30–27
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com29–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Devin Tejada Sherdog.com29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Stirling · 54%29-28 Stirling · 32%29-28 Bellato · 14%

22 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Navajo Stirling

0.98takedowns / 15 min
0.98 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.38 / 15m
3.50 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.94 / 15m
28%
ACCURACY
35%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Rodolfo Bellato

1.38takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Navajo Stirling↑ +6.0pp
open 65.1%close 71.0%
Rodolfo Bellato↓ −6.0pp
open 34.9%close 29.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Navajo Stirling opened at 65.1% and closed at 71.0% (+6.0pp), with Rodolfo Bellato moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Navajo Stirling-210-29365.1%71.0%+6.0pp
Rodolfo Bellato17522934.9%29.0%−6.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-09-28 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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