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History · 2025 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard
From the tape · 23 Aug 2025

Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Shanghai, Hebei, China
Result

Rongzhu beat Austin Hubbard

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · Vitor Ribeiro

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner Rongzhu
VSOn the tape
Blue corner AustinHubbard“Thud”Valle Flow Striking · Denver, Colorado
Lightweight3 rounds23 Aug 2025
The story going in
  • Lands 2.0 more significant strikes a minute than Hubbard.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Rongzhu.
27-6
Record
17-10
−8 yr25
Age
33
5' 9"
Height
+1″5' 10"
71″
Reach
71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5
UFC bouts
+611
1/250% of wins
Finishes
1/425% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Rongzhu20 sig landed
HEAD45%9 of 32BODY5%1 of 4LEGS50%10 of 10
Austin Hubbard18 sig landed
HEAD56%10 of 46BODY39%7 of 11LEGS6%1 of 2
20 of 46
Sig.
strikes
18 of 59
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:00
Control
0:29
Distance 19Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rongzhu firstEvan Field10–9David Lethaby10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Rongzhu29 sig landed
HEAD52%15 of 47BODY38%11 of 12LEGS10%3 of 3
Austin Hubbard28 sig landed
HEAD46%13 of 48BODY50%14 of 19LEGS4%1 of 1
29 of 62
Sig.
strikes
28 of 68
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:00
Control
0:33
Distance 27Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rongzhu firstEvan Field9–10David Lethaby9–10Clemens Werner10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Rongzhu52 sig landed
HEAD79%41 of 75BODY17%9 of 12LEGS4%2 of 2
Austin Hubbard29 sig landed
HEAD69%20 of 75BODY31%9 of 24LEGS0%0 landed
52 of 89
Sig.
strikes
29 of 99
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 6
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 52Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 28Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rongzhu firstEvan Field10–9David Lethaby10–9Clemens Werner10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Vitor Ribeiro
RongzhuAustin Hubbard
Official totals — Rongzhu first
JudgeTotal
Evan Field2.2 avg spread · 48% wide29–28
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide29–28
Clemens Werner2.1 avg spread · 50% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 7 scored, Rongzhu first · unofficial

MM A Latinoamerica30–27
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection30–27
MM AMania.com30–27
Mathis Desjardins Cageside Press30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Sherdog.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Zhu · 48%29-28 Zhu · 40%30-26 Zhu · 4%30-28 Zhu · 4%30-27 Hubbard · 4%

25 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Rongzhu

1.35takedowns / 15 min
1.35 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.63 / 15m
2.18 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.82 / 15m
62%
ACCURACY
28%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Austin Hubbard

1.63takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Rongzhu↓ −2.3pp
open 73.4%close 71.1%
Austin Hubbard↑ +2.3pp
open 26.6%close 28.9%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Rongzhu opened at 73.4% and closed at 71.1% (−2.3pp), with Austin Hubbard moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Rongzhu-350-29673.4%71.1%−2.3pp
Austin Hubbard25522926.6%28.9%+2.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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