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History · 2025 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen
From the tape · 19 Jul 2025

Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · New Orleans, Louisiana, USA
Result

Brendan Allen beat Marvin Vettori

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Bassel Mahgoub

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MarvinVettori“The Italian Dream”American Top Team · Mezzocorona, Trentino
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BrendanAllen“All In”Kill Cliff FC · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Middleweight3 rounds19 Jul 2025
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has finished 2 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 8 of 12 UFC wins.
19-10-1
Record
27-7
31
Age
−2 yr29
6' 0"
Height
+2″6' 2"
74″
Reach
+1″75″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
16
UFC bouts
16
2/922% of wins
Finishes
+44%8/1267% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Mezzocorona, Trentino
From
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Marvin Vettori29 sig landed
HEAD86%25 of 53BODY3%1 of 1LEGS10%3 of 4
Brendan Allen30 sig landed
HEAD77%23 of 46BODY20%6 of 8LEGS3%1 of 1
29 of 58
Sig.
strikes
30 of 55
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 3
1:17
Control
1:20
Distance 21Clinch 2Ground 6
Where it
happened
Distance 23Clinch 0Ground 7
Judges · this round · Vettori firstDerek Cleary9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Todd Maxwell9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Marvin Vettori36 sig landed
HEAD94%34 of 92BODY0%0 of 1LEGS6%2 of 2
Brendan Allen42 sig landed
HEAD76%32 of 71BODY14%6 of 8LEGS10%4 of 4
36 of 95
Sig.
strikes
42 of 83
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 36Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 41Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Vettori firstDerek Cleary10–9Junichiro Kamijo9–10Todd Maxwell9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Marvin Vettori44 sig landed
HEAD89%39 of 94BODY9%4 of 5LEGS2%1 of 1
Brendan Allen39 sig landed
HEAD79%31 of 77BODY15%6 of 7LEGS5%2 of 2
44 of 100
Sig.
strikes
39 of 86
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:07
Distance 42Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 36Clinch 3Ground 0
Judges · this round · Vettori firstDerek Cleary9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Todd Maxwell9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Bassel Mahgoub
Marvin VettoriBrendan Allen
Official totals — Marvin Vettori first
JudgeTotal
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide28–29
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide27–30
Todd Maxwell27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 12 scored, Marvin Vettori first · unofficial

Drake Riggs Uncrowned27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Combat Press.com27–30
MM AMania.com27–30
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Simon Samano MMAJunkie.com27–30
Jake Noecker Home of Fight28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Allen · 35%30-27 Allen · 35%29-28 Vettori · 26%30-27 Vettori · 2%

133 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Marvin Vettori

1.41takedowns / 15 min
1.41 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.56 / 15m
3.28 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.71 / 15m
43%
ACCURACY
42%
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.10 / 15m

Brendan Allen

1.56takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Marvin Vettori→ no move
open 31.2%close 31.4%
Brendan Allen→ no move
open 68.8%close 68.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

The line barely moved. Marvin Vettori opened at 31.2% and closed at 31.4% once the vig is taken out — a 0.1pp shift across the whole build-up. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Marvin Vettori20020031.2%31.4%+0.1pp
Brendan Allen-275-27068.8%68.6%−0.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-07-20 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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