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History · 2025 · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan
From the tape · 10 May 2025

Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Result

Bekzat Almakhan beat Brad Katona

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
1:04
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner BradKatona“Superman”SBG Ireland · Winnipeg, Manitoba
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BekzatAlmakhan“The Turan Warrior”Triumph Fights · Almaty
Bantamweight3 rounds10 May 2025
The story going in
  • 8 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Almakhan.
  • Lands 3.2 more significant strikes a minute than Almakhan.
16-5
Record
12-4
33
Age
−6 yr27
5' 6"
Height
+1″5' 7"
64″
Reach
+4″68″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+78
UFC bouts
1
SBG Ireland
Gym
Triumph Fights
Winnipeg, Manitoba
From
Almaty
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 11:04 of action⚡ 1 KD AlmakhanEnded 1:04
Brad Katona1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 3BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 of 1
Bekzat Almakhan8 sig landed
HEAD88%7 of 10BODY12%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
1 of 4
Sig.
strikes
8 of 11
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:02
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 2

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Bekzat Almakhan

Round
1
Clock
1:04
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Brad Katona

1.86takedowns / 15 min
1.86 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m
5.47 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
n/a
34%
ACCURACY
n/a
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Bekzat Almakhan

0.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Brad Katona↑ +3.5pp
open 39.0%close 42.4%
Bekzat Almakhan↓ −3.5pp
open 61.0%close 57.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Brad Katona opened at 39.0% and closed at 42.4% (+3.5pp), with Bekzat Almakhan moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Brad Katona14012539.0%42.4%+3.5pp
Bekzat Almakhan-188-15261.0%57.6%−3.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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