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History · 2025 · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Randy Brown vs Nicolas Dalby
From the tape · 26 Apr 2025

Randy Brown vs Nicolas Dalby

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Kansas City, Missouri, USA
Result

Randy Brown beat Nicolas Dalby

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
1:39
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Keith Peterson

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner RandyBrown“Rudeboy”Budokan Martial Arts Academy · Spanish Town
VSOn the tape
ND
Blue corner NicolasDalby“Danish Dynamite”Rumble Sports · Copenhagen
Welterweight3 rounds26 Apr 2025
The story going in
  • Has finished 6 of 13 UFC wins.
  • 19 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Dalby.
20-8
Record
24-6-1
−6 yr34
Age
40
+4″6' 3"
Height
5' 11"
+4″78″
Reach
74″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+619
UFC bouts
13
+32%6/1346% of wins
Finishes
1/714% of wins
Budokan Martial Arts Academy
Gym
Rumble Sports
Spanish Town
From
Copenhagen
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Dalby
Randy Brown22 sig landed
HEAD86%19 of 48BODY5%1 of 2LEGS9%2 of 2
Nicolas Dalby15 sig landed
HEAD40%6 of 23BODY0%0 of 1LEGS60%9 of 15
22 of 52
Sig.
strikes
15 of 39
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
1:22
0
Knock-
downs
1
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 0Ground 1
Round 21:39 of action⚡ 1 KD BrownEnded 1:39
Randy Brown32 sig landed
HEAD81%26 of 55BODY12%4 of 5LEGS6%2 of 2
Nicolas Dalby11 sig landed
HEAD55%6 of 29BODY9%1 of 2LEGS36%4 of 4
32 of 62
Sig.
strikes
11 of 35
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:03
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 32Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Randy Brown

Round
2
Clock
1:39
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Keith Peterson.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Randy Brown

0.71takedowns / 15 min
0.71 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.90 / 15m
2.09 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.46 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
26%
0.50 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Nicolas Dalby

0.90takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Randy Brown↑ +10.0pp
open 62.5%close 72.5%
Nicolas Dalby↓ −10.0pp
open 37.5%close 27.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Randy Brown opened at 62.5% and closed at 72.5% (+10.0pp), with Nicolas Dalby moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Randy Brown-200-31562.5%72.5%+10.0pp
Nicolas Dalby15024737.5%27.5%−10.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-04-27 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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