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History · 2025 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett
From the tape · 12 Apr 2025

Michael Chandler vs Paddy Pimblett

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Miami, Florida, USA
Result

Paddy Pimblett beat Michael Chandler

Method
KO/TKO
Round
3 of 5
Clock
3:07
LightweightCo-MainReferee · Kerry Hatley

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MichaelChandler“Iron”Kill Cliff FC · High Ridge, Missouri
VSOn the tape
Blue corner PaddyPimblett“The Baddy”Next Generation MMA Liverpool · Liverpool, Merseyside
Lightweight5 rounds12 Apr 2025
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Comes in on a 6-fight win streak.
  • Carries 17 points more takedown defence than Pimblett.
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
23-11
Record
24-4
38
Age
−8 yr30
5' 8"
Height
+2″5' 10"
71″
Reach
+2″73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6
UFC bouts
6
2/2100% of wins
Finishes
4/667% of wins
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Next Generation MMA Liverpool
High Ridge, Missouri
From
Liverpool, Merseyside
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Michael Chandler5 sig landed
HEAD80%4 of 10BODY20%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Paddy Pimblett16 sig landed
HEAD44%7 of 28BODY6%1 of 2LEGS50%8 of 10
5 of 11
Sig.
strikes
16 of 40
2 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:10
Control
0:00
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action
Michael Chandler5 sig landed
HEAD20%1 of 6BODY40%2 of 5LEGS40%2 of 3
Paddy Pimblett34 sig landed
HEAD76%26 of 53BODY3%1 of 1LEGS21%7 of 9
5 of 14
Sig.
strikes
34 of 63
2 of 4
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:34
Control
2:15
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 4Ground 11
Round 33:07 of actionEnded 3:07
Michael Chandler1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 2BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Paddy Pimblett30 sig landed
HEAD93%28 of 38BODY7%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
1 of 3
Sig.
strikes
30 of 40
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
2:26
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 22

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Paddy Pimblett

Round
3
Clock
3:07
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Kerry Hatley.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Michael Chandler

1.96takedowns / 15 min
1.96 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.69 / 15m
4.78 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.29 / 15m
41%
ACCURACY
21%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.20 / 15m

Paddy Pimblett

0.69takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Michael Chandler↓ −13.7pp
open 55.1%close 41.5%
Paddy Pimblett↑ +13.7pp
open 44.9%close 58.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Michael Chandler opened at 55.1% and closed at 41.5% (−13.7pp), with Paddy Pimblett moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Michael Chandler-13513055.1%41.5%−13.7pp
Paddy Pimblett114-15944.9%58.5%+13.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-04-13 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-07-18. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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