This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
History · 2025 · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · Nasrat Haqparast vs Esteban Ribovics
From the tape · 1 Mar 2025

Nasrat Haqparast vs Esteban Ribovics

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Nasrat Haqparast beat Esteban Ribovics

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner NasratHaqparastTristar Gym · Rabat
VSOn the tape
Blue corner EstebanRibovics“El Gringo”Kill Cliff FC · Tartagal, Salta
Lightweight3 rounds1 Mar 2025
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 9 UFC wins.
18-7
Record
16-3
29
Age
−1 yr28
5' 10"
Height
5' 10"
+3″72″
Reach
69″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+913
UFC bouts
4
2/922% of wins
Finishes
+11%1/333% of wins
Tristar Gym
Gym
Kill Cliff FC
Rabat
From
Tartagal, Salta
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Nasrat Haqparast33 sig landed
HEAD64%21 of 50BODY33%11 of 13LEGS3%1 of 1
Esteban Ribovics36 sig landed
HEAD78%28 of 94BODY8%3 of 7LEGS14%5 of 6
33 of 64
Sig.
strikes
36 of 107
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 33Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 36Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Haqparast firstMichael Bell10–9Sal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Nasrat Haqparast49 sig landed
HEAD80%39 of 91BODY16%8 of 11LEGS4%2 of 2
Esteban Ribovics62 sig landed
HEAD85%53 of 170BODY10%6 of 10LEGS5%3 of 3
49 of 104
Sig.
strikes
62 of 183
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 49Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 62Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Haqparast firstMichael Bell10–9Sal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Nasrat Haqparast53 sig landed
HEAD81%43 of 92BODY13%7 of 10LEGS6%3 of 3
Esteban Ribovics49 sig landed
HEAD80%39 of 131BODY16%8 of 10LEGS4%2 of 2
53 of 105
Sig.
strikes
49 of 143
1 of 5
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:49
Control
0:00
Distance 52Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 49Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Haqparast firstMichael Bell9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Jason Herzog
Nasrat HaqparastEsteban Ribovics
Official totals — Nasrat Haqparast first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell29–28
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide29–28
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 11 scored, Nasrat Haqparast first · unofficial

Combat Press.com29–28
Mathis Desjardins Cageside Press29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com28–29
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com28–29
Sheehan SevereMMA.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Ribovics · 69%29-28 Haqparast · 25%30-27 Ribovics · 4%30-28 Ribovics · 0%

251 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Nasrat Haqparast

0.34takedowns / 15 min
0.34 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.35 / 15m
1.70 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.53 / 15m
20%
ACCURACY
66%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Esteban Ribovics

0.35takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Nasrat Haqparast↓ −0.9pp
open 32.2%close 31.3%
Esteban Ribovics↑ +0.9pp
open 67.8%close 68.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Nasrat Haqparast opened at 32.2% and closed at 31.3% (−0.9pp), with Esteban Ribovics moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Nasrat Haqparast19520532.2%31.3%−0.9pp
Esteban Ribovics-250-25667.8%68.7%+0.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2025-03-02 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-08-30. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record