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History · 2024 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Erin Blanchfield vs Rose Namajunas
From the tape · 2 Nov 2024

Erin Blanchfield vs Rose Namajunas

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Result

Erin Blanchfield beat Rose Namajunas

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
5 of 5
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightCo-MainReferee · Blake Grice

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ErinBlanchfield“Cold Blooded”Renzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu · Elmwood Park, New Jersey
VSOn the tape
Blue corner RoseNamajunas“Thug”Genesis Training Academy · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Women's Flyweight5 rounds2 Nov 2024
The story going in
  • Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Lands 1.7 more significant strikes a minute than Namajunas.
  • Has finished 5 of 11 UFC wins.
14-2
Record
15-8
−7 yr25
Age
32
5' 4"
Height
+1″5' 5"
+1″66″
Reach
65″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
7
UFC bouts
+916
+5%3/650% of wins
Finishes
5/1145% of wins
Renzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
Gym
Genesis Training Academy
Elmwood Park, New Jersey
From
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

5 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Erin Blanchfield19 sig landed
HEAD58%11 of 58BODY16%3 of 4LEGS26%5 of 6
Rose Namajunas30 sig landed
HEAD73%22 of 52BODY7%2 of 3LEGS20%6 of 6
19 of 68
Sig.
strikes
30 of 61
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 30Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Blanchfield firstMichael Bell9–10Derek Cleary9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Erin Blanchfield25 sig landed
HEAD84%21 of 61BODY8%2 of 2LEGS8%2 of 4
Rose Namajunas23 sig landed
HEAD74%17 of 58BODY22%5 of 5LEGS4%1 of 2
25 of 67
Sig.
strikes
23 of 65
0 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:15
Control
0:08
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Blanchfield firstMichael Bell9–10Derek Cleary9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10
Round 35:00 of action
Erin Blanchfield11 sig landed
HEAD64%7 of 24BODY18%2 of 2LEGS18%2 of 2
Rose Namajunas9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 18BODY22%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
11 of 28
Sig.
strikes
9 of 21
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
3:38
Control
0:00
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Blanchfield firstMichael Bell10–9Derek Cleary10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9
Round 45:00 of action
Erin Blanchfield40 sig landed
HEAD72%29 of 82BODY15%6 of 6LEGS12%5 of 5
Rose Namajunas25 sig landed
HEAD64%16 of 67BODY32%8 of 11LEGS4%1 of 1
40 of 93
Sig.
strikes
25 of 79
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:53
Control
0:07
Distance 40Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Blanchfield firstMichael Bell10–9Derek Cleary10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9
Round 55:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Erin Blanchfield15 sig landed
HEAD87%13 of 23BODY13%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
Rose Namajunas7 sig landed
HEAD86%6 of 17BODY14%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
15 of 25
Sig.
strikes
7 of 19
1 of 3
Take-
downs
0 of 2
4:08
Control
0:00
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Blanchfield firstMichael Bell10–9Derek Cleary10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Blake Grice
Erin BlanchfieldRose Namajunas
Official totals — Erin Blanchfield first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell48–47
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide48–47
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide48–47

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 19 scored, Erin Blanchfield first · unofficial

Dayne Fox Sherdog.com48–47
Scott Fontana New York Post48–47
Steve Duncan mma.uno48–47
Jake Noecker Cageside Press48–47
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News48–47
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated48–47
Combat Press.com48–47
Nick Baldwin theScore48–47
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com48–47
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks48–47
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com48–47
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com48–47
Sheehan SevereMMA.com47–48
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com47–48
Jed Meshew MMAFighting.com47–48
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com47–48
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com47–48
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com47–48
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com46–49

Fan vote · unofficial

48-47 Blanchfield · 58%48-47 Namajunas · 38%49-46 Blanchfield · 3%49-46 Namajunas · 1%

124 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Erin Blanchfield

1.96takedowns / 15 min
1.96 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.47 / 15m
5.76 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
3.06 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
48%
0.90 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

Rose Namajunas

1.47takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Erin Blanchfield↑ +6.2pp
open 51.0%close 57.2%
Rose Namajunas↓ −6.2pp
open 49.0%close 42.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Erin Blanchfield opened at 51.0% and closed at 57.2% (+6.2pp), with Rose Namajunas moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Erin Blanchfield-120-15051.0%57.2%+6.2pp
Rose Namajunas-11012349.0%42.8%−6.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-11-03 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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