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History · 2024 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva
From the tape · 7 Sep 2024

Jessica Andrade vs Natalia Silva

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Natalia Silva beat Jessica Andrade

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightCo-MainReferee · Kerry Hatley

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner JessicaAndrade“Bate Estaca”GAEA Project · Umuarama, Parana
VSOn the tape
Blue corner NataliaSilvaTeam Borracha · Timoteo, Minas Gerais
Women's Flyweight3 rounds7 Sep 2024
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 9 of 17 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
26-15
Record
20-5-1
32
Age
−5 yr27
5' 1"
Height
+3″5' 4"
62″
Reach
+3″65″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+2227
UFC bouts
5
+13%9/1753% of wins
Finishes
2/540% of wins
GAEA Project
Gym
Team Borracha
Umuarama, Parana
From
Timoteo, Minas Gerais
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Jessica Andrade24 sig landed
HEAD67%16 of 46BODY29%7 of 9LEGS4%1 of 1
Natalia Silva33 sig landed
HEAD42%14 of 53BODY36%12 of 14LEGS21%7 of 7
24 of 56
Sig.
strikes
33 of 74
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:04
Control
0:00
Distance 23Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 32Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Andrade firstAdalaide Byrd9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Jessica Andrade11 sig landed
HEAD82%9 of 31BODY9%1 of 4LEGS9%1 of 2
Natalia Silva37 sig landed
HEAD54%20 of 47BODY41%15 of 20LEGS5%2 of 2
11 of 37
Sig.
strikes
37 of 69
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:55
Control
0:46
Distance 10Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 32Clinch 5Ground 0
Judges · this round · Andrade firstAdalaide Byrd9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Chris Lee9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Jessica Andrade15 sig landed
HEAD53%8 of 37BODY33%5 of 7LEGS13%2 of 3
Natalia Silva47 sig landed
HEAD70%33 of 51BODY23%11 of 11LEGS6%3 of 3
15 of 47
Sig.
strikes
47 of 65
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
1:12
Control
0:03
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 42Clinch 3Ground 2
Judges · this round · Andrade firstAdalaide Byrd9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Chris Lee9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Kerry Hatley
Jessica AndradeNatalia Silva
Official totals — Jessica Andrade first
JudgeTotal
Adalaide Byrd2.0 avg spread · 45% wide27–30
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide27–30
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 11 scored, Jessica Andrade first · unofficial

Brian Knapp Sherdog.com27–30
Jake Noecker Cageside Press27–30
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated27–30
Dayne Fox Sherdog.com27–30
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–29
Alex Behunin MMA Mania28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Silva · 67%29-28 Andrade · 15%29-28 Silva · 13%30-26 Silva · 2%

46 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Jessica Andrade

2.10takedowns / 15 min
2.10 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.43 / 15m
3.89 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.43 / 15m
54%
ACCURACY
30%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Natalia Silva

0.43takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Jessica Andrade↓ −13.4pp
open 42.8%close 29.4%
Natalia Silva↑ +13.4pp
open 57.2%close 70.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Jessica Andrade opened at 42.8% and closed at 29.4% (−13.4pp), with Natalia Silva moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Jessica Andrade12422442.8%29.4%−13.4pp
Natalia Silva-148-28757.2%70.6%+13.4pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-09-08 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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