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History · 2024 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze
From the tape · 29 Jun 2024

Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Roman Dolidze beat Anthony Smith

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AnthonySmith“Lionheart”Factory X · Omaha, Nebraska
VSOn the tape
Blue corner RomanDolidzeXtreme Couture · Batumi, Adjara
Light Heavyweight3 rounds29 Jun 2024
The story going in
  • Has finished 11 of 13 UFC wins.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • 22 UFC bouts deep — 13 more than Dolidze.
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
38-22
Record
15-6
35
Age
35
+2″6' 4"
Height
6' 2"
76″
Reach
76″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+1322
UFC bouts
9
+18%11/1385% of wins
Finishes
4/667% of wins
Factory X
Gym
Xtreme Couture
Omaha, Nebraska
From
Batumi, Adjara
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Anthony Smith18 sig landed
HEAD33%6 of 19BODY17%3 of 3LEGS50%9 of 10
Roman Dolidze22 sig landed
HEAD18%4 of 27BODY18%4 of 6LEGS64%14 of 19
18 of 32
Sig.
strikes
22 of 52
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 21Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Smith firstSal D'Amato9–10Junichiro Kamijo10–9Ron McCarthy9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Anthony Smith11 sig landed
HEAD36%4 of 8BODY0%0 landedLEGS64%7 of 8
Roman Dolidze48 sig landed
HEAD83%40 of 63BODY8%4 of 4LEGS8%4 of 6
11 of 16
Sig.
strikes
48 of 73
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
3:33
Distance 11Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 14Clinch 2Ground 32
Judges · this round · Smith firstSal D'Amato9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Ron McCarthy9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Anthony Smith22 sig landed
HEAD77%17 of 40BODY5%1 of 1LEGS18%4 of 4
Roman Dolidze30 sig landed
HEAD57%17 of 45BODY13%4 of 6LEGS30%9 of 9
22 of 45
Sig.
strikes
30 of 60
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 22Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 30Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Smith firstSal D'Amato9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Ron McCarthy10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Anthony SmithRoman Dolidze
Official totals — Anthony Smith first
JudgeTotal
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide27–30
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 15 scored, Anthony Smith first · unofficial

Combat Press.com27–30
Damien Bartonek Fox West Texas27–30
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com27–30
John Pollock POST Wrestling27–30
Scott Fontana New York Post28–29
Drake Riggs MMAMania.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
Dayne Fox The MMA Draw28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com29–28
Devin Tejada Sherdog.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Dolidze · 48%29-28 Dolidze · 28%29-28 Smith · 13%30-26 Dolidze · 8%28-27 Dolidze · 1%

71 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Anthony Smith

0.44takedowns / 15 min
0.44 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.16 / 15m
2.00 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.70 / 15m
22%
ACCURACY
43%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Roman Dolidze

1.16takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Anthony Smith↑ +3.6pp
open 39.6%close 43.3%
Roman Dolidze↓ −3.6pp
open 60.4%close 56.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Anthony Smith opened at 39.6% and closed at 43.3% (+3.6pp), with Roman Dolidze moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Anthony Smith14212139.6%43.3%+3.6pp
Roman Dolidze-170-14660.4%56.7%−3.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-06-30 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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