This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
History · 2024 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · Billy Ray Goff vs Trey Waters
From the tape · 11 May 2024

Billy Ray Goff vs Trey Waters

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · St. Louis, Missouri, USA
Result

Trey Waters beat Billy Ray Goff

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Josh Stewart

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner Billy RayGoff
VSOn the tape
Blue corner TreyWaters“The Truth”Ludus MMA · Jacksonville, Florida
Welterweight3 rounds11 May 2024
The story going in
  • Averages 1.4 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Waters.
  • Carries 19 points more takedown defence than Goff.
9-5
Record
9-2
−4 yr25
Age
29
5' 10"
Height
+7″6' 5"
72″
Reach
+5″77″
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
1
UFC bouts
1
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
0/10% of wins
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Billy Ray Goff38 sig landed
HEAD63%24 of 68BODY8%3 of 10LEGS29%11 of 13
Trey Waters38 sig landed
HEAD87%33 of 71BODY11%4 of 6LEGS3%1 of 1
38 of 91
Sig.
strikes
38 of 78
1 of 5
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:40
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 35Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 36Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Goff firstTravis Buesking10–9Sal D'Amato9–10David Huyette9–10
Round 25:00 of action1 sub attempt
Billy Ray Goff51 sig landed
HEAD53%27 of 66BODY24%12 of 15LEGS24%12 of 14
Trey Waters31 sig landed
HEAD94%29 of 79BODY6%2 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
51 of 95
Sig.
strikes
31 of 84
0 of 5
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:23
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 46Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 31Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Goff firstTravis Buesking9–10Sal D'Amato9–10David Huyette9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Billy Ray Goff27 sig landed
HEAD48%13 of 42BODY11%3 of 8LEGS41%11 of 13
Trey Waters27 sig landed
HEAD96%26 of 61BODY4%1 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
27 of 63
Sig.
strikes
27 of 63
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:03
Control
0:00
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 27Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 27Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Goff firstTravis Buesking9–10Sal D'Amato9–10David Huyette9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Josh Stewart
Billy Ray GoffTrey Waters
Official totals — Billy Ray Goff first
JudgeTotal
Travis Buesking28–29
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide27–30
David Huyette27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 15 scored, Billy Ray Goff first · unofficial

Keith Shillan Sherdog.com27–30
Val Dewar Cageside Press27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
Damien Bartonek Fox West Texas28–29
Tim Wheaton CombatPress.com28–29
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Dayne Fox The MMA Draw29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
MM AUncensored.com29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks29–28
Patrick McCorry Cageside Press30–27

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Goff · 47%29-28 Waters · 23%30-27 Goff · 21%30-27 Waters · 8%30-28 Waters · 1%

127 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Billy Ray Goff

1.75takedowns / 15 min
1.75 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.40 / 15m
10.94 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.21 / 15m
16%
ACCURACY
33%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.80 / 15m

Trey Waters

0.40takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

What the market did on the way to the cage — the price, not our model. This bout is settled; the window below is closed.

We hold no market price for this bout — no captured price series, and no opening or closing line in the sportsbook record we fall back on. So there is nothing to show, and we would rather show nothing than draw a line that was never there.

Billy Ray Goff vs Trey Waters.

← Every fighter on the record