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History · 2024 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Bill Algeo vs Kyle Nelson
From the tape · 30 Mar 2024

Bill Algeo vs Kyle Nelson

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA
Result

Kyle Nelson beat Bill Algeo

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
4:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Gary Copeland

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner BillAlgeo“Senor Perfecto”Boothwyn, Pennsylvania
VSOn the tape
Blue corner KyleNelson“The Monster”House of Champions MMA · Huntsville, Ontario
Featherweight3 rounds30 Mar 2024
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
18-9
Record
17-7-1
34
Age
−2 yr32
+1″6' 0"
Height
5' 11"
+2″73″
Reach
71″
Switch
Stance
Switch
8
UFC bouts
8
+7%2/540% of wins
Finishes
1/333% of wins
Boothwyn, Pennsylvania
From
Huntsville, Ontario
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 14:00 of actionEnded 4:00
Bill Algeo30 sig landed
HEAD37%11 of 34BODY37%11 of 11LEGS27%8 of 13
Kyle Nelson32 sig landed
HEAD62%20 of 45BODY19%6 of 8LEGS19%6 of 6
30 of 58
Sig.
strikes
32 of 59
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:48
Distance 30Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 28Clinch 4Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Kyle Nelson

Round
1
Clock
4:00
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Gary Copeland.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Bill Algeo

1.03takedowns / 15 min
1.03 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.18 / 15m
2.06 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.13 / 15m
50%
ACCURACY
23%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.50 / 15m

Kyle Nelson

1.18takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Bill Algeo↑ +6.5pp
open 61.6%close 68.2%
Kyle Nelson↓ −6.5pp
open 38.4%close 31.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Bill Algeo opened at 61.6% and closed at 68.2% (+6.5pp), with Kyle Nelson moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Bill Algeo-180-26561.6%68.2%+6.5pp
Kyle Nelson15019538.4%31.8%−6.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-03-31 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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