Round 1⚡ 1 KD Davis
5 of 5
Sig.
strikes
strikes
2 of 4
1 of 1
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:34
Control
3:46
0
Knock-
downs
downs
1
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
0
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 3
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 1
From the tape · 16 Mar 2024
Natan Levy vs Mike Davis
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result
Mike Davis beat Natan Levy
LightweightMain cardReferee · Mike Beltran
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
2 rounds of tape
Round 21 sub attemptEnded 1:43
3 of 4
Sig.
strikes
strikes
1 of 3
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
1:25
0
Knock-
downs
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
attempts
1
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 1
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Mike Davis
Round
2
Clock
1:43
Method
Submission
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.
Takedowns
Takedowns
Natan Levy
The level change — how often it lands, how often it is stopped. Career UFC rates, straight off the tape.
FightIQ read
Volume wrestler
5.03 takedowns landed per 15 minutes — +2.90 on the field average.
Career ratesvs field average
TAKEDOWNS94
5.03 / 15m+2.90 vs field
ATTEMPTS84
8.67 / 15m+3.27 vs field
ACCURACY83
58%+14pp vs field
SUB ATT35
0.50 / 15m−0.80 vs field
TD DEFENCE23
41%−19pp vs field
Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average.
Ranked in Lightweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Natan Levy↓ −11.0pp
open 31.5%close 20.4%
Mike Davis↑ +11.0pp
open 68.5%close 79.6%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Natan Levy opened at 31.5% and closed at 20.4% (−11.0pp), with Mike Davis moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natan Levy | 205 | 370 | 31.5% | 20.4% | −11.0pp |
| Mike Davis | -250 | -485 | 68.5% | 79.6% | +11.0pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.