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History · 2024 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Christian Rodriguez vs Isaac Dulgarian
From the tape · 16 Mar 2024

Christian Rodriguez vs Isaac Dulgarian

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Christian Rodriguez beat Isaac Dulgarian

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Chris Tognoni

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ChristianRodriguezRoufusport · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
VSOn the tape
Blue corner IsaacDulgarian“The Midwest Choppa”Factory X · Kansas City, Missouri
Featherweight3 rounds16 Mar 2024
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Averages 2.8 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Rodriguez.
  • Carries 67 points more takedown defence than Dulgarian.
13-4
Record
7-2
−1 yr26
Age
27
5' 7"
Height
5' 7"
71″
Reach
71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+34
UFC bouts
1
1/333% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
Roufusport
Gym
Factory X
Milwaukee, Wisconsin
From
Kansas City, Missouri
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action2 sub attempts
Christian Rodriguez1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 3BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Isaac Dulgarian9 sig landed
HEAD78%7 of 9BODY11%1 of 1LEGS11%1 of 1
1 of 3
Sig.
strikes
9 of 11
0 of 0
Take-
downs
3 of 3
0:00
Control
4:48
0
Sub
attempts
2
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 0Ground 7
Judges · this round · Rodriguez firstSal D'Amato8–10Anthony Maness8–10Ron McCarthy8–10
Round 25:00 of action
Christian Rodriguez12 sig landed
HEAD75%9 of 12BODY25%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Isaac Dulgarian8 sig landed
HEAD62%5 of 8BODY12%1 of 1LEGS25%2 of 2
12 of 15
Sig.
strikes
8 of 11
0 of 0
Take-
downs
4 of 6
0:05
Control
4:11
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 6Clinch 5Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rodriguez firstSal D'Amato10–9Anthony Maness9–10Ron McCarthy10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Christian Rodriguez35 sig landed
HEAD94%33 of 56BODY3%1 of 1LEGS3%1 of 1
Isaac Dulgarian5 sig landed
HEAD100%5 of 22BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
35 of 58
Sig.
strikes
5 of 22
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 7
3:14
Control
0:23
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 14Clinch 5Ground 16
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Rodriguez firstSal D'Amato10–8Anthony Maness10–8Ron McCarthy10–8

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Chris Tognoni
Christian RodriguezIsaac Dulgarian
Official totals — Christian Rodriguez first
JudgeTotal
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide28–27
Anthony Maness1.9 avg spread · 43% wide27–28
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide28–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 11 scored, Christian Rodriguez first · unofficial

MM AMania.com28–28
Val Dewar Cageside Press28–28
Combat Press.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–28
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com27–28
Zane Simon The MMA Vivisection27–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com27–28
Jake Noecker Cageside Press27–28
Chris De Santiago Sports Illustrated27–29

Fan vote · unofficial

28-27 Dulgarian · 59%29-27 Dulgarian · 12%28-27 Rodriguez · 8%29-28 Dulgarian · 6%

399 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Christian Rodriguez

1.75takedowns / 15 min
1.75 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
4.57 / 15m
4.38 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
9.14 / 15m
40%
ACCURACY
50%
1.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
1.80 / 15m

Isaac Dulgarian

4.57takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Christian Rodriguez↓ −20.2pp
open 56.3%close 36.2%
Isaac Dulgarian↑ +20.2pp
open 43.7%close 63.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Christian Rodriguez opened at 56.3% and closed at 36.2% (−20.2pp), with Isaac Dulgarian moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Christian Rodriguez-14216456.3%36.2%−20.2pp
Isaac Dulgarian120-20143.7%63.8%+20.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-03-17 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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