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History · 2024 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Arnold Allen vs Movsar Evloev
From the tape · 20 Jan 2024

Arnold Allen vs Movsar Evloev

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Result

Movsar Evloev beat Arnold Allen

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ArnoldAllen“Almighty”Felixstowe, Suffolk
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MovsarEvloevAmerican Top Team · Sunzha, Ingushetia
Featherweight3 rounds20 Jan 2024
The story going in
  • Has finished 4 of 10 UFC wins.
  • Unbeaten — 7-0 in the UFC.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 4 more than Evloev.
  • Averages 3.5 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Allen.
21-4
Record
20-0
29
Age
29
+1″5' 8"
Height
5' 7"
70″
Reach
+2″72″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+411
UFC bouts
7
+40%4/1040% of wins
Finishes
0/70% of wins
Felixstowe, Suffolk
From
Sunzha, Ingushetia
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Arnold Allen12 sig landed
HEAD75%9 of 36BODY25%3 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
Movsar Evloev13 sig landed
HEAD69%9 of 24BODY31%4 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
12 of 40
Sig.
strikes
13 of 28
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 9
0:00
Control
1:31
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 12Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Allen firstEric Colón9–10Saleem Haniff9–10Patricia VanderMeer9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Arnold Allen18 sig landed
HEAD72%13 of 35BODY28%5 of 7LEGS0%0 landed
Movsar Evloev21 sig landed
HEAD71%15 of 40BODY19%4 of 5LEGS10%2 of 2
18 of 42
Sig.
strikes
21 of 47
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:00
Control
0:59
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 13Clinch 5Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 1
Judges · this round · Allen firstEric Colón9–10Saleem Haniff9–10Patricia VanderMeer9–10
Round 35:00 of action1 sub attemptEnded 5:00
Arnold Allen29 sig landed
HEAD66%19 of 44BODY31%9 of 13LEGS3%1 of 1
Movsar Evloev17 sig landed
HEAD65%11 of 37BODY24%4 of 4LEGS12%2 of 2
29 of 58
Sig.
strikes
17 of 43
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 6
0:03
Control
1:01
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 21Clinch 4Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Allen firstEric Colón10–9Saleem Haniff10–9Patricia VanderMeer10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Arnold AllenMovsar Evloev
Official totals — Arnold Allen first
JudgeTotal
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29
Saleem Haniff28–29
Patricia VanderMeer28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 17 scored, Arnold Allen first · unofficial

Patrick McCorry Cageside Press27–30
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Scottie Smith Sherdog.com28–29
Jake Noecker Cageside Press28–29
Damien Bartonek Fox West Texas28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com28–29
Bloody Elbow.com28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–29
Jed Meshew MMAFighting.com28–28
MM AMania.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28
Combat Press.com29–28
Sheehan SevereMMA.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Allen · 54%29-28 Evloev · 36%30-27 Evloev · 5%30-27 Allen · 1%

937 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Arnold Allen

1.24takedowns / 15 min
1.24 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
4.78 / 15m
2.07 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
9.19 / 15m
60%
ACCURACY
52%
0.30 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.20 / 15m

Movsar Evloev

4.78takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Arnold Allen↓ −6.6pp
open 42.8%close 36.2%
Movsar Evloev↑ +6.6pp
open 57.2%close 63.8%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Arnold Allen opened at 42.8% and closed at 36.2% (−6.6pp), with Movsar Evloev moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Arnold Allen12416442.8%36.2%−6.6pp
Movsar Evloev-148-20157.2%63.8%+6.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2024-01-21 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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