Round 1⚡ 1 KD TafaEnded 1:22
11 of 14
Sig.
strikes
strikes
7 of 14
0 of 0
Take-
downs
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
downs
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 5
Where it
happened
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
From the tape · 9 Sep 2023
Justin Tafa vs Austen Lane
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Result
Justin Tafa beat Austen Lane
HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Jim Perdios
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
VSOn the tape
The story going in
- Every one of Tafa’s 3 UFC wins came inside the distance.
- Averages 1.5 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Tafa.
- 7 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Lane.
7-5
Record
13-8
−6 yr29
Age
35
6' 0"
Height
+6″6' 6"
74″
Reach
+6″80″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+67
UFC bouts
1
NTG Fight & Fitness
Gym
Bulldog Boxing
Brisbane, New South Wales
From
Jacksonville, Florida
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
UFCStats · per round
1 round of tape
Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.
How it ended
This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.
Won inside the distance
Justin Tafa
Round
1
Clock
1:22
Method
KO/TKO
This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jim Perdios.
Takedowns
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Justin Tafa
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.50 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
5.36 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
28%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m
53%
TD DEFENCE
33%
Austen Lane
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.77 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
Ranked in Heavyweight
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Justin Tafa↓ −0.6pp
open 64.5%close 63.9%
Austen Lane↑ +0.6pp
open 35.5%close 36.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)
Justin Tafa opened at 64.5% and closed at 63.9% (−0.6pp), with Austen Lane moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Tafa | -225 | -202 | 64.5% | 63.9% | −0.6pp |
| Austen Lane | 163 | 165 | 35.5% | 36.1% | +0.6pp |
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-09-10 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.