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History · 2023 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Brad Katona vs Cody Gibson
From the tape · 19 Aug 2023

Brad Katona vs Cody Gibson

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Result

Brad Katona beat Cody Gibson

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner BradKatona“Superman”SBG Ireland · Winnipeg, Manitoba
VSOn the tape
Blue corner CodyGibson“The Renegade”Elite Team · Visalia, California
Bantamweight3 rounds19 Aug 2023
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 1.2 more significant strikes a minute than Gibson.
16-5
Record
22-13
−4 yr31
Age
35
5' 6"
Height
+4″5' 10"
64″
Reach
+7″71″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4
UFC bouts
4
0/20% of wins
Finishes
1/1100% of wins
SBG Ireland
Gym
Elite Team
Winnipeg, Manitoba
From
Visalia, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Brad Katona36 sig landed
HEAD61%22 of 70BODY14%5 of 7LEGS25%9 of 10
Cody Gibson49 sig landed
HEAD80%39 of 73BODY12%6 of 7LEGS8%4 of 5
36 of 87
Sig.
strikes
49 of 85
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 29Clinch 7Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 42Clinch 7Ground 0
Judges · this round · Katona firstDavid Ginsberg9–10Chris Lee10–9Nick Mahmood9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Brad Katona58 sig landed
HEAD78%45 of 91BODY10%6 of 10LEGS12%7 of 7
Cody Gibson64 sig landed
HEAD73%47 of 76BODY19%12 of 13LEGS8%5 of 5
58 of 108
Sig.
strikes
64 of 94
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 47Clinch 11Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 52Clinch 12Ground 0
Judges · this round · Katona firstDavid Ginsberg10–9Chris Lee10–9Nick Mahmood10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Brad Katona66 sig landed
HEAD74%49 of 93BODY21%14 of 20LEGS5%3 of 3
Cody Gibson51 sig landed
HEAD86%44 of 79BODY8%4 of 7LEGS6%3 of 3
66 of 116
Sig.
strikes
51 of 89
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 51Clinch 15Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 40Clinch 11Ground 0
Judges · this round · Katona firstDavid Ginsberg10–9Chris Lee10–9Nick Mahmood10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Brad KatonaCody Gibson
Official totals — Brad Katona first
JudgeTotal
David Ginsberg29–28
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide30–27
Nick Mahmood29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 16 scored, Brad Katona first · unofficial

MM AJunkie.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com29–28
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News29–28
Nick Baldwin theScore29–28
Dan Urban Couchside Judges29–28
Jake Noecker Cageside Press29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
John Pollock POST Wrestling29–28
Shakiel Mahjouri CBS Sports29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com29–28
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–28
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Combat Press.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Katona · 63%29-28 Gibson · 28%30-27 Katona · 6%30-29 Gibson · 2%30-28 Gibson · 1%

86 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Brad Katona

1.86takedowns / 15 min
1.86 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.12 / 15m
5.47 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
5.73 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
37%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Cody Gibson

2.12takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Brad Katona↓ −0.6pp
open 62.2%close 61.7%
Cody Gibson↑ +0.6pp
open 37.8%close 38.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Brad Katona opened at 62.2% and closed at 61.7% (−0.6pp), with Cody Gibson moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Brad Katona-185-18162.2%61.7%−0.6pp
Cody Gibson15415037.8%38.3%+0.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-08-20 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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