Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa
Melquizael Costa beat Austin Lingo
We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.
- Carries 25 points more takedown defence than Costa.
- Is 10 points more accurate striking than Lingo.
Round by round
Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.
No round-by-round tape on file
UFCStats has no per-round record for this bout, so there is no timeline to draw. The result and the finish above are unaffected — this is a hole in the round-by-round tape, and we will not fill it in from the fight totals.
Judges’ scorecards
The judges’ totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score.
No scorecard record on file
We could not join this bout to a scoring record, so nothing is shown here. That is a gap in the source data, not a card we are withholding.
Takedowns
The level change — head to head
Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.
Austin Lingo
Melquizael Costa
Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.
The market story
Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.
Austin Lingo opened at 45.7% and closed at 33.2% (−12.5pp), with Melquizael Costa moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.
Show the numbers
| Corner | Open (US) | Close (US) | Open % | Close % | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lingo | 105 | 187 | 45.7% | 33.2% | −12.5pp |
| Melquizael Costa | -138 | -234 | 54.3% | 66.8% | +12.5pp |