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History · 2023 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Cameron Saaiman vs Terrence Mitchell
From the tape · 8 Jul 2023

Cameron Saaiman vs Terrence Mitchell

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Cameron Saaiman beat Terrence Mitchell

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
3:10
BantamweightMain cardReferee · Mark Smith

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner CameronSaaiman“MSP”Team CIT · Pretoria
VSOn the tape
TM
Blue corner TerrenceMitchellLegacy Jiu-Jitsu · Anchorage, Alaska
Bantamweight3 rounds8 Jul 2023
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Averages 2.8 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Saaiman.
  • Carries 47 points more takedown defence than Mitchell.
9-3
Record
14-4
−11 yr22
Age
33
5' 8"
Height
+2″5' 10"
67″
Reach
+7″74″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Team CIT
Gym
Legacy Jiu-Jitsu
Pretoria
From
Anchorage, Alaska
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 13:10 of action1 sub attemptEnded 3:10
Cameron Saaiman18 sig landed
HEAD83%15 of 29BODY17%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Terrence Mitchell3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
18 of 32
Sig.
strikes
3 of 7
2 of 2
Take-
downs
1 of 2
1:37
Control
1:06
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 4Ground 14
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 2Ground 1

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Cameron Saaiman

Round
1
Clock
3:10
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mark Smith.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Cameron Saaiman

0.89takedowns / 15 min
0.89 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
3.69 / 15m
3.18 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.38 / 15m
28%
ACCURACY
50%
0.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Terrence Mitchell

3.69takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.45 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Cameron Saaimanclose only
no opening line on recordclose 81.9%
Terrence Mitchellclose only
no opening line on recordclose 18.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Cameron Saaiman 81.9%, Terrence Mitchell 18.1%, vig removed.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Cameron Saaiman-450-59681.9%
Terrence Mitchell42818.1%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for Terrence Mitchell., so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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