This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
History · 2023 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Ivana Petrovic vs Luana Carolina
From the tape · 1 Jul 2023

Ivana Petrovic vs Luana Carolina

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Luana Carolina beat Ivana Petrovic

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
Women's FlyweightMain cardReferee · Mark Smith

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner IvanaPetrovicValhall Gym · Tonsberg
VSOn the tape
Blue corner LuanaCarolina“Dread”Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Women's Flyweight3 rounds1 Jul 2023
The story going in
  • Averages 1.8 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Carolina.
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Lands 2.7 more significant strikes a minute than Petrovic.
7-3
Record
11-5
−1 yr29
Age
30
+2″5' 8"
Height
5' 6"
+1″70″
Reach
69″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tonsberg
From
Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Ivana Petrovic3 sig landed
HEAD100%3 of 14BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 of 1
Luana Carolina10 sig landed
HEAD30%3 of 14BODY0%0 of 1LEGS70%7 of 7
3 of 15
Sig.
strikes
10 of 22
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:22
Control
2:08
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 3Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 4
Judges · this round · Petrovic firstDavid Lethaby9–10Ron McCarthy9–10Tony Weeks9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Ivana Petrovic13 sig landed
HEAD69%9 of 25BODY31%4 of 7LEGS0%0 landed
Luana Carolina16 sig landed
HEAD38%6 of 25BODY44%7 of 10LEGS19%3 of 3
13 of 32
Sig.
strikes
16 of 38
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
1:58
Control
1:24
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 4Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 11Clinch 5Ground 0
Judges · this round · Petrovic firstDavid Lethaby9–10Ron McCarthy9–10Tony Weeks10–9
Round 35:00 of action2 sub attemptsEnded 5:00
Ivana Petrovic6 sig landed
HEAD50%3 of 12BODY17%1 of 1LEGS33%2 of 2
Luana Carolina15 sig landed
HEAD60%9 of 21BODY27%4 of 4LEGS13%2 of 2
6 of 15
Sig.
strikes
15 of 27
1 of 3
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:51
Control
2:13
2
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 6Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 2Ground 3
Judges · this round · Petrovic firstDavid Lethaby10–9Ron McCarthy10–9Tony Weeks9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Mark Smith
Ivana PetrovicLuana Carolina
Official totals — Ivana Petrovic first
JudgeTotal
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide28–29
Ron McCarthy2.0 avg spread · 41% wide28–29
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 12 scored, Ivana Petrovic first · unofficial

Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com27–30
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com27–30
MM AJunkie.com27–30
Combat Press.com27–30
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com27–30
Steve Duncan mma.uno27–30
Bloody Elbow.com27–30
Chris De Santiago MiddleEasy.com27–30
MM AMania.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Dominik Durniat ddreporter Tv28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Carolina · 71%29-28 Carolina · 29%

21 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Ivana Petrovic

2.12takedowns / 15 min
2.12 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.30 / 15m
5.58 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
0.81 / 15m
38%
ACCURACY
37%
0.80 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Luana Carolina

0.30takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (3.58 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Flyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Ivana Petrovic↓ −1.5pp
open 64.5%close 63.0%
Luana Carolina↑ +1.5pp
open 35.5%close 37.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Ivana Petrovic opened at 64.5% and closed at 63.0% (−1.5pp), with Luana Carolina moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Ivana Petrovic-225-19064.5%63.0%−1.5pp
Luana Carolina16316035.5%37.0%+1.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record