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History · 2023 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze
From the tape · 18 Mar 2023

Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · London, England, United Kingdom
Result

Marvin Vettori beat Roman Dolidze

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MarvinVettori“The Italian Dream”American Top Team · Mezzocorona, Trentino
VSOn the tape
Blue corner RomanDolidzeXtreme Couture · Batumi, Adjara
Middleweight3 rounds18 Mar 2023
The story going in
  • Has finished 2 of 8 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • 13 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Dolidze.
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
19-10-1
Record
15-6
−5 yr29
Age
34
6' 0"
Height
+2″6' 2"
74″
Reach
+2″76″
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
+613
UFC bouts
7
2/825% of wins
Finishes
+42%4/667% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
Xtreme Couture
Mezzocorona, Trentino
From
Batumi, Adjara
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Marvin Vettori38 sig landed
HEAD63%24 of 60BODY5%2 of 3LEGS32%12 of 12
Roman Dolidze29 sig landed
HEAD69%20 of 62BODY10%3 of 3LEGS21%6 of 6
38 of 75
Sig.
strikes
29 of 71
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 35Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 29Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Vettori firstBen Cartlidge9–10David Lethaby9–10Paul Sutherland10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Marvin Vettori28 sig landed
HEAD39%11 of 48BODY11%3 of 6LEGS50%14 of 15
Roman Dolidze16 sig landed
HEAD75%12 of 44BODY19%3 of 5LEGS6%1 of 1
28 of 69
Sig.
strikes
16 of 50
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:05
Distance 28Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Vettori firstBen Cartlidge10–9David Lethaby10–9Paul Sutherland10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Marvin Vettori40 sig landed
HEAD62%25 of 57BODY8%3 of 4LEGS30%12 of 13
Roman Dolidze26 sig landed
HEAD77%20 of 63BODY19%5 of 7LEGS4%1 of 1
40 of 74
Sig.
strikes
26 of 71
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:09
Distance 37Clinch 3Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 22Clinch 4Ground 0
Judges · this round · Vettori firstBen Cartlidge10–9David Lethaby10–9Paul Sutherland10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Marvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Official totals — Marvin Vettori first
JudgeTotal
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide29–28
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide29–28
Paul Sutherland2.2 avg spread · 52% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 28 scored, Marvin Vettori first · unofficial

Jed Meshew MMAFighting.com30–27
Nolan King MMAJunkie.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com29–28
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com29–28
Drake Riggs MMAMania.com29–28
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
Bloody Elbow.com29–28
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com29–28
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Alex Behunin MMA Mania29–28
Dan Urban Couchside Judges29–28
Ben Davis28–29
Stephie Haynes BloodyElbow.com28–29
Eric Kowal MyMMANews.com28–29
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
Combat Press.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Nick Baldwin theScore28–29
John Pollock POST Wrestling28–29
Sheehan SevereMMA.com28–29
Shakiel Mahjouri CBS Sports28–29
Jillian DeCoursey28–29
Jake Noecker BetQL27–30
Shane Clifford Sherdog.com27–30

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Dolidze · 49%29-28 Vettori · 35%30-27 Dolidze · 8%30-27 Vettori · 6%

847 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Marvin Vettori

1.41takedowns / 15 min
1.41 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.16 / 15m
3.28 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.70 / 15m
43%
ACCURACY
43%
0.40 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Roman Dolidze

1.16takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Marvin Vettori↑ +3.9pp
open 71.1%close 75.0%
Roman Dolidze↓ −3.9pp
open 28.9%close 25.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Marvin Vettori opened at 71.1% and closed at 75.0% (+3.9pp), with Roman Dolidze moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Marvin Vettori-275-37571.1%75.0%+3.9pp
Roman Dolidze23528028.9%25.0%−3.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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