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History · 2023 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett
From the tape · 11 Feb 2023

Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Result

Yair Rodriguez beat Josh Emmett

Method
Submission
Round
2 of 5
Clock
4:19
Interim Featherweight TitleTitle fightCo-MainReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner YairRodriguez“El Pantera”Valle Flow Striking · Hidalgo del Parral, Chihuahua
VSOn the tape
Blue corner JoshEmmett“CC0”Team Alpha Male · Sacramento, California
Interim Featherweight Title5 rounds11 Feb 2023
The story going in
  • Has finished 4 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Is 11 points more accurate striking than Emmett.
  • Has finished 3 of 9 UFC wins.
21-6
Record
19-7
−7 yr30
Age
37
+5″5' 11"
Height
5' 6"
+1″71″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+112
UFC bouts
11
+11%4/944% of wins
Finishes
3/933% of wins
Valle Flow Striking
Gym
Team Alpha Male
Hidalgo del Parral, Chihuahua
From
Sacramento, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Yair Rodriguez26 sig landed
HEAD54%14 of 39BODY27%7 of 9LEGS19%5 of 5
Josh Emmett12 sig landed
HEAD83%10 of 24BODY17%2 of 2LEGS0%0 landed
26 of 53
Sig.
strikes
12 of 26
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
1:27
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 21Clinch 1Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 1Ground 7
Round 24:19 of action1 sub attemptEnded 4:19
Yair Rodriguez36 sig landed
HEAD61%22 of 37BODY31%11 of 13LEGS8%3 of 4
Josh Emmett10 sig landed
HEAD70%7 of 20BODY20%2 of 5LEGS10%1 of 1
36 of 54
Sig.
strikes
10 of 26
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 4
0:00
Control
1:34
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 26Clinch 6Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 1

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Yair Rodriguez

Round
2
Clock
4:19
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Yair Rodriguez

0.71takedowns / 15 min
0.71 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.07 / 15m
2.45 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.97 / 15m
29%
ACCURACY
36%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.10 / 15m

Josh Emmett

1.07takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Yair Rodriguez↑ +2.7pp
open 59.6%close 62.3%
Josh Emmett↓ −2.7pp
open 40.4%close 37.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Yair Rodriguez opened at 59.6% and closed at 62.3% (+2.7pp), with Josh Emmett moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Yair Rodriguez-160-18559.6%62.3%+2.7pp
Josh Emmett14015540.4%37.7%−2.7pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · dated 2023-02-12 on the odds record (1d from the card date; the nearest day inside a two-day window is used, never a guess) · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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