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History · 2023 · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Shane Young vs Blake Bilder
From the tape · 11 Feb 2023

Shane Young vs Blake Bilder

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Result

Blake Bilder beat Shane Young

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Peter Hickmott

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ShaneYoung“Smokin”City Kickboxing · Auckland
VSOn the tape
Blue corner BlakeBilder“El Animal”Spartan Martial Arts · St. Paul, Minnesota
Featherweight3 rounds11 Feb 2023
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Is 8 points more accurate striking than Young.
  • Lands 1.4 more significant strikes a minute than Bilder.
13-8
Record
8-2-1
−3 yr29
Age
32
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
+4″72″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
City Kickboxing
Gym
Spartan Martial Arts
Auckland
From
St. Paul, Minnesota
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Shane Young16 sig landed
HEAD19%3 of 17BODY44%7 of 7LEGS38%6 of 6
Blake Bilder19 sig landed
HEAD42%8 of 22BODY5%1 of 1LEGS53%10 of 10
16 of 30
Sig.
strikes
19 of 33
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
1:43
Distance 16Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 0Ground 1
Judges · this round · Young firstBen Cartlidge9–10David Lethaby9–10Mick Meany9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Shane Young27 sig landed
HEAD56%15 of 49BODY30%8 of 13LEGS15%4 of 4
Blake Bilder37 sig landed
HEAD41%15 of 27BODY16%6 of 10LEGS43%16 of 17
27 of 66
Sig.
strikes
37 of 54
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:03
Control
0:00
Distance 26Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 35Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Young firstBen Cartlidge9–10David Lethaby10–9Mick Meany9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Shane Young37 sig landed
HEAD65%24 of 85BODY16%6 of 8LEGS19%7 of 7
Blake Bilder55 sig landed
HEAD71%39 of 85BODY7%4 of 6LEGS22%12 of 12
37 of 100
Sig.
strikes
55 of 103
0 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 37Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 54Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Young firstBen Cartlidge9–10David Lethaby9–10Mick Meany9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Peter Hickmott
Shane YoungBlake Bilder
Official totals — Shane Young first
JudgeTotal
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide27–30
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide28–29
Mick Meany27–30

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 16 scored, Shane Young first · unofficial

Combat Press.com27–30
Dan Urban Couchside Judges27–30
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com27–30
Dan Levi Best Fight Picks28–29
Alex Behunin Cageside Press28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News28–29
John Pollock POST Wrestling28–29
Dominik Durniat ddreporter Tv28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Bloody Elbow.com28–29
Jake Noecker BetQL28–29
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com28–29
Jack Dankoff Sherdog.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Bilder · 61%30-27 Bilder · 39%

33 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Shane Young

0.63takedowns / 15 min
0.63 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.31 / 15m
3.50 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.43 / 15m
18%
ACCURACY
7%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.60 / 15m

Blake Bilder

0.31takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Shane Young↑ +3.2pp
open 54.3%close 57.5%
Blake Bilder↓ −3.2pp
open 45.7%close 42.5%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Shane Young opened at 54.3% and closed at 57.5% (+3.2pp), with Blake Bilder moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Shane Young-130-15154.3%57.5%+3.2pp
Blake Bilder11012545.7%42.5%−3.2pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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