This Saturday Hooker vs Parnasse · Accor Arena Paris France See this week's picks →
History · 2022 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Alex Caceres vs Julian Erosa
From the tape · 17 Dec 2022

Alex Caceres vs Julian Erosa

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Alex Caceres beat Julian Erosa

Method
KO/TKO
Round
1 of 3
Clock
3:04
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Herb Dean

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AlexCaceres“Bruce Leeroy”MMA Lab · Miami, Florida
VSOn the tape
Blue corner JulianErosa“Juicy J”Xtreme Couture · Yakima, Washington
Featherweight3 rounds17 Dec 2022
The story going in
  • Has finished 5 of 14 UFC wins.
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • 26 UFC bouts deep — 15 more than Erosa.
  • Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
21-15
Record
31-14
34
Age
−1 yr33
5' 10"
Height
+3″6' 1"
73″
Reach
+1″74″
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
+1526
UFC bouts
11
5/1436% of wins
Finishes
+14%3/650% of wins
MMA Lab
Gym
Xtreme Couture
Miami, Florida
From
Yakima, Washington
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 13:04 of action⚡ 1 KD CaceresEnded 3:04
Alex Caceres16 sig landed
HEAD56%9 of 19BODY19%3 of 6LEGS25%4 of 5
Julian Erosa10 sig landed
HEAD20%2 of 11BODY30%3 of 4LEGS50%5 of 7
16 of 30
Sig.
strikes
10 of 22
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:05
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 3
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Alex Caceres

Round
1
Clock
3:04
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Herb Dean.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Alex Caceres

0.54takedowns / 15 min
0.54 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.73 / 15m
0.79 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
4.02 / 15m
68%
ACCURACY
43%
0.70 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Julian Erosa

1.73takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Alex Caceres↓ −3.0pp
open 42.0%close 39.0%
Julian Erosa↑ +3.0pp
open 58.0%close 61.0%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Alex Caceres opened at 42.0% and closed at 39.0% (−3.0pp), with Julian Erosa moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Alex Caceres13014742.0%39.0%−3.0pp
Julian Erosa-150-17358.0%61.0%+3.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
← Every fighter on the record