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History · 2022 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Armen Petrosyan vs AJ Dobson
From the tape · 22 Oct 2022

Armen Petrosyan vs AJ Dobson

UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Armen Petrosyan beat AJ Dobson

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
MiddleweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner ArmenPetrosyan“Superman”Academy MMA · Yerevan
VSOn the tape
AD
Blue corner AJDobson
Middleweight3 rounds22 Oct 2022
The story going in
  • Lands 1.5 more significant strikes a minute than Dobson.
  • Carries 24 points more takedown defence than Petrosyan.
9-5
Record
7-3
31
Age
−1 yr30
+2″6' 3"
Height
6' 1"
71″
Reach
+5″76″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+12
UFC bouts
1
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Armen Petrosyan35 sig landed
HEAD34%12 of 35BODY20%7 of 8LEGS46%16 of 17
AJ Dobson15 sig landed
HEAD60%9 of 32BODY7%1 of 5LEGS33%5 of 5
35 of 60
Sig.
strikes
15 of 42
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:00
Control
0:34
Distance 34Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 15Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Petrosyan firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9David Lethaby10–9Darryl Ransom10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Armen Petrosyan40 sig landed
HEAD22%9 of 53BODY35%14 of 15LEGS42%17 of 18
AJ Dobson20 sig landed
HEAD55%11 of 46BODY15%3 of 4LEGS30%6 of 6
40 of 86
Sig.
strikes
20 of 56
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:00
Control
0:09
Distance 33Clinch 7Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 2Ground 0
Judges · this round · Petrosyan firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9David Lethaby10–9Darryl Ransom10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Armen Petrosyan43 sig landed
HEAD23%10 of 63BODY33%14 of 16LEGS44%19 of 21
AJ Dobson23 sig landed
HEAD78%18 of 58BODY22%5 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
43 of 100
Sig.
strikes
23 of 63
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:06
Distance 39Clinch 4Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 6Ground 0
Judges · this round · Petrosyan firstJunichiro Kamijo10–9David Lethaby10–9Darryl Ransom10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Armen PetrosyanAJ Dobson
Official totals — Armen Petrosyan first
JudgeTotal
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide30–27
David Lethaby2.1 avg spread · 44% wide30–27
Darryl Ransom2.2 avg spread · 55% wide30–27

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 15 scored, Armen Petrosyan first · unofficial

Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com30–27
Matthew Wells MMAJunkie.com30–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno30–27
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com30–27
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com30–27
Combat Press.com30–27
Daniel Yanofsky The Sporting News30–27
Bloody Elbow.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Jake Noecker BetQL30–27
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com30–27
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com30–27
John Brannigan Sherdog.com30–27
MM AMania.com30–27
MM AJunkie.com30–27

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Petrosyan · 76%29-28 Petrosyan · 13%30-27 Dobson · 5%30-28 Petrosyan · 3%

38 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Armen Petrosyan

0.17takedowns / 15 min
0.17 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.67 / 15m
0.52 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.23 / 15m
33%
ACCURACY
75%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.30 / 15m

AJ Dobson

1.67takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (6.86 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Middleweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Armen Petrosyanclose only
no opening line on recordclose 64.9%
AJ Dobsonclose only
no opening line on recordclose 35.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

We hold the closing consensus for this bout but no opening line, so the strip marks the close alone: Armen Petrosyan 64.9%, AJ Dobson 35.1%, vig removed.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Armen Petrosyan-210-21264.9%
AJ Dobson17235.1%
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10 · BestFightOdds has no fighter page scraped for A.J. Dobson, so that corner’s CLOSE is read from the opponent’s row, which names it explicitly. No opening line exists for that corner and none is shown.. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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