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History · 2022 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo
From the tape · 1 Oct 2022

Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Randy Brown beat Francisco Trinaldo

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightCo-MainReferee · Keith Peterson

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner RandyBrown“Rudeboy”Budokan Martial Arts Academy · Spanish Town
VSOn the tape
FT
Blue corner FranciscoTrinaldo“Massaranduba”Brazilian TKO · Brasilia, Federal District
Welterweight3 rounds1 Oct 2022
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 5 of 9 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 7 of 18 UFC wins.
20-8
Record
28-9
−12 yr32
Age
44
+6″6' 3"
Height
5' 9"
+8″78″
Reach
70″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
13
UFC bouts
+1225
+17%5/956% of wins
Finishes
7/1839% of wins
Budokan Martial Arts Academy
Gym
Brazilian TKO
Spanish Town
From
Brasilia, Federal District
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action⚡ 1 KD Brown1 sub attempt
Randy Brown23 sig landed
HEAD35%8 of 28BODY9%2 of 5LEGS57%13 of 16
Francisco Trinaldo9 sig landed
HEAD11%1 of 6BODY33%3 of 4LEGS56%5 of 5
23 of 49
Sig.
strikes
9 of 15
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 3
0:38
Control
1:04
1
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 21Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Brown firstEric Colón10–9Sal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Randy Brown25 sig landed
HEAD60%15 of 55BODY24%6 of 9LEGS16%4 of 5
Francisco Trinaldo19 sig landed
HEAD42%8 of 24BODY32%6 of 8LEGS26%5 of 5
25 of 69
Sig.
strikes
19 of 37
0 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 1
0:00
Control
0:50
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 25Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Brown firstEric Colón10–9Sal D'Amato10–9Chris Lee10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Randy Brown12 sig landed
HEAD58%7 of 18BODY17%2 of 2LEGS25%3 of 3
Francisco Trinaldo12 sig landed
HEAD92%11 of 14BODY0%0 landedLEGS8%1 of 1
12 of 23
Sig.
strikes
12 of 15
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
3:27
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 7
Judges · this round · Brown firstEric Colón9–10Sal D'Amato9–10Chris Lee9–10

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Keith Peterson
Randy BrownFrancisco Trinaldo
Official totals — Randy Brown first
JudgeTotal
Eric Colón2.0 avg spread · 43% wide29–28
Sal D'Amato2.1 avg spread · 46% wide29–28
Chris Lee2.0 avg spread · 44% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 14 scored, Randy Brown first · unofficial

Alex Behunin Cageside Press29–28
Drake Riggs MMAMania.com29–28
Dan Urban Couchside Judges29–28
Combat Press.com29–28
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
Bloody Elbow.com29–28
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–28
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Steve Duncan mma.uno28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Trinaldo · 50%29-28 Brown · 44%30-27 Trinaldo · 1%29-27 Brown · 1%

72 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Randy Brown

0.71takedowns / 15 min
0.71 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.98 / 15m
2.09 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.33 / 15m
34%
ACCURACY
42%
0.50 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.50 / 15m

Francisco Trinaldo

0.98takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.97 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Welterweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Randy Brown↑ +6.5pp
open 67.3%close 73.7%
Francisco Trinaldo↓ −6.5pp
open 32.7%close 26.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Randy Brown opened at 67.3% and closed at 73.7% (+6.5pp), with Francisco Trinaldo moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Randy Brown-230-33767.3%73.7%+6.5pp
Francisco Trinaldo19526432.7%26.3%−6.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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