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History · 2022 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson
From the tape · 7 May 2022

Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · Phoenix, Arizona, USA
Result

Michael Chandler beat Tony Ferguson

Method
KO/TKO
Round
2 of 3
Clock
0:17
LightweightMain cardReferee · Jason Herzog

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner MichaelChandler“Iron”Kill Cliff FC · High Ridge, Missouri
VSOn the tape
TF
Blue corner TonyFerguson“El Cucuy”Knuckleheadz MMA · Oxnard, California
Lightweight3 rounds7 May 2022
The story going in
  • Has dropped 2 straight in the UFC.
  • Has dropped 3 straight in the UFC.
  • Averages 1.6 more takedowns per 15 minutes than Ferguson.
  • Has finished 11 of 15 UFC wins.
23-11
Record
26-11
−2 yr36
Age
38
5' 8"
Height
+3″5' 11"
71″
Reach
+5″76″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3
UFC bouts
+1619
1/1100% of wins
Finishes
11/1573% of wins
Kill Cliff FC
Gym
Knuckleheadz MMA
High Ridge, Missouri
From
Oxnard, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

2 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Michael Chandler26 sig landed
HEAD54%14 of 38BODY23%6 of 8LEGS23%6 of 6
Tony Ferguson20 sig landed
HEAD65%13 of 38BODY10%2 of 7LEGS25%5 of 5
26 of 52
Sig.
strikes
20 of 50
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:29
Control
0:00
0
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 9
Where it
happened
Distance 17Clinch 0Ground 3
Round 20:17 of action⚡ 1 KD ChandlerEnded 0:17
Michael Chandler1 sig landed
HEAD100%1 of 1BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Tony Ferguson0 sig landed
HEAD0%0 landedBODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed

No significant strikes landed

1 of 1
Sig.
strikes
0 of 0
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:02
Control
0:00
1
Knock-
downs
0
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 0Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Michael Chandler

Round
2
Clock
0:17
Method
KO/TKO

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Jason Herzog.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Michael Chandler

1.96takedowns / 15 min
1.96 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.39 / 15m
4.78 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
1.11 / 15m
41%
ACCURACY
35%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.90 / 15m

Tony Ferguson

0.39takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Michael Chandler↑ +16.5pp
open 58.8%close 75.3%
Tony Ferguson↓ −16.5pp
open 41.2%close 24.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Michael Chandler opened at 58.8% and closed at 75.3% (+16.5pp), with Tony Ferguson moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Michael Chandler-155-36458.8%75.3%+16.5pp
Tony Ferguson13528941.2%24.7%−16.5pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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