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History · 2021 · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jessica Penne
From the tape · 7 Aug 2021

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Jessica Penne

UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · Houston, Texas, USA
Result

Jessica Penne beat Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Method
Submission
Round
1 of 3
Clock
4:32
Women's StrawweightMain cardReferee · Mike Beltran

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner KarolinaKowalkiewiczAmerican Top Team · Lodz
VSOn the tape
JP
Blue corner JessicaPenneAlliance MMA · Huntington Beach, California
Women's Strawweight3 rounds7 Aug 2021
The story going in
  • Has dropped 4 straight in the UFC.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 6 more than Penne.
16-10
Record
14-9
−3 yr35
Age
38
5' 3"
Height
+2″5' 5"
64″
Reach
+3″67″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+611
UFC bouts
5
0/50% of wins
Finishes
0/20% of wins
American Top Team
Gym
Alliance MMA
Lodz
From
Huntington Beach, California
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

1 round of tape

Round 14:32 of action1 sub attemptEnded 4:32
Karolina Kowalkiewicz8 sig landed
HEAD38%3 of 7BODY0%0 landedLEGS62%5 of 5
Jessica Penne12 sig landed
HEAD75%9 of 16BODY25%3 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
8 of 12
Sig.
strikes
12 of 19
1 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:26
Control
3:13
0
Sub
attempts
1
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 4
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 8

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Jessica Penne

Round
1
Clock
4:32
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Mike Beltran.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

0.36takedowns / 15 min
0.36 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.29 / 15m
1.57 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.17 / 15m
23%
ACCURACY
18%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.50 / 15m

Jessica Penne

1.29takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (4.04 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Strawweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz↓ −5.6pp
open 62.1%close 56.6%
Jessica Penne↑ +5.6pp
open 37.9%close 43.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz opened at 62.1% and closed at 56.6% (−5.6pp), with Jessica Penne moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Karolina Kowalkiewicz-180-14562.1%56.6%−5.6pp
Jessica Penne15512037.9%43.4%+5.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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