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History · 2021 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Niko Price vs Michel Pereira
From the tape · 10 Jul 2021

Niko Price vs Michel Pereira

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Michel Pereira beat Niko Price

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
WelterweightMain cardReferee · Mark Smith

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner NikoPrice“The Hybrid”Futures MMA · Cape Coral, Florida
VSOn the tape
Blue corner MichelPereira“Demolidor”Overcome Academy · Tucuma, Para
Welterweight3 rounds10 Jul 2021
The story going in
  • Every one of Price’s 6 UFC wins came inside the distance.
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • 12 UFC bouts deep — 7 more than Pereira.
  • Has finished 2 of 3 UFC wins.
16-11
Record
32-15
31
Age
−4 yr27
6' 0"
Height
+1″6' 1"
+3″76″
Reach
73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
+712
UFC bouts
5
+33%6/6100% of wins
Finishes
2/367% of wins
Futures MMA
Gym
Overcome Academy
Cape Coral, Florida
From
Tucuma, Para
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Niko Price10 sig landed
HEAD10%1 of 14BODY30%3 of 7LEGS60%6 of 9
Michel Pereira27 sig landed
HEAD30%8 of 19BODY56%15 of 16LEGS15%4 of 4
10 of 30
Sig.
strikes
27 of 39
0 of 1
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:47
Control
0:32
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 19Clinch 7Ground 1
Judges · this round · Price firstMichael Bell9–10Adalaide Byrd9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10
Round 25:00 of action3 sub attempts
Niko Price19 sig landed
HEAD42%8 of 25BODY5%1 of 3LEGS53%10 of 12
Michel Pereira32 sig landed
HEAD72%23 of 42BODY22%7 of 8LEGS6%2 of 2
19 of 40
Sig.
strikes
32 of 52
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:50
Control
2:12
1
Sub
attempts
2
Distance 18Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 3Ground 9
Judges · this round · Price firstMichael Bell9–10Adalaide Byrd9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Niko Price47 sig landed
HEAD66%31 of 91BODY21%10 of 13LEGS13%6 of 6
Michel Pereira33 sig landed
HEAD64%21 of 45BODY36%12 of 18LEGS0%0 landed
47 of 110
Sig.
strikes
33 of 63
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 3
0:35
Control
0:03
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 37Clinch 8Ground 2
Where it
happened
Distance 25Clinch 8Ground 0
Judges · this round · Price firstMichael Bell10–9Adalaide Byrd10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Mark Smith
Niko PriceMichel Pereira
Official totals — Niko Price first
JudgeTotal
Michael Bell28–29
Adalaide Byrd2.0 avg spread · 45% wide28–29
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 21 scored, Niko Price first · unofficial

Sheehan SevereMMA.com27–30
Nick Baldwin theScore28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com28–29
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com28–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Joe McDonagh Cageside Press28–29
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com28–29
Phil Murphy ESPN28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com28–29
Hadi Mohamed Ali albiladpress.com28–29
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport28–29
Eric Kowal MyMMANews.com28–29
Jillian DeCoursey CombatPress.com28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Shawn Bitter Cageside Press28–29
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com28–29
Chris Connor The Fight City28–29
Marcel Dorff mmadna.nl28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Pereira · 76%29-27 Pereira · 4%29-28 Price · 3%30-27 Pereira · 1%

88 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Niko Price

1.06takedowns / 15 min
1.06 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.21 / 15m
3.53 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
2.16 / 15m
30%
ACCURACY
56%
0.60 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.70 / 15m

Michel Pereira

1.21takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.32 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked roster-wide

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Niko Price↓ −1.9pp
open 38.6%close 36.7%
Michel Pereira↑ +1.9pp
open 61.4%close 63.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Niko Price opened at 38.6% and closed at 36.7% (−1.9pp), with Michel Pereira moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Niko Price15015838.6%36.7%−1.9pp
Michel Pereira-175-20261.4%63.3%+1.9pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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