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History · 2021 · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Austin Hubbard vs Dakota Bush
From the tape · 17 Apr 2021

Austin Hubbard vs Dakota Bush

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Austin Hubbard beat Dakota Bush

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · Keith Peterson

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner AustinHubbard“Thud”Valle Flow Striking · Denver, Colorado
VSOn the tape
DB
Blue corner DakotaBushThe Smith Pit · St. Clair, Missouri
Lightweight3 rounds17 Apr 2021
17-10
Record
8-4
29
Age
−3 yr26
5' 10"
Height
5' 10"
71″
Reach
+2″73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Valle Flow Striking
Gym
The Smith Pit
Denver, Colorado
From
St. Clair, Missouri
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Austin Hubbard34 sig landed
HEAD32%11 of 38BODY12%4 of 6LEGS56%19 of 21
Dakota Bush30 sig landed
HEAD33%10 of 37BODY13%4 of 15LEGS53%16 of 21
34 of 65
Sig.
strikes
30 of 73
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:02
Control
0:00
Distance 32Clinch 2Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 30Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Hubbard firstDerek Cleary9–10Junichiro Kamijo9–10Tony Weeks9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Austin Hubbard13 sig landed
HEAD54%7 of 16BODY23%3 of 3LEGS23%3 of 3
Dakota Bush7 sig landed
HEAD43%3 of 8BODY29%2 of 4LEGS29%2 of 3
13 of 22
Sig.
strikes
7 of 15
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
3:21
Control
0:33
Distance 8Clinch 0Ground 5
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Hubbard firstDerek Cleary10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9Tony Weeks10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Austin Hubbard20 sig landed
HEAD70%14 of 22BODY15%3 of 3LEGS15%3 of 3
Dakota Bush4 sig landed
HEAD100%4 of 14BODY0%0 of 1LEGS0%0 of 1
20 of 28
Sig.
strikes
4 of 16
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 4
3:19
Control
0:58
Distance 9Clinch 0Ground 11
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Hubbard firstDerek Cleary10–9Junichiro Kamijo10–9Tony Weeks10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Keith Peterson
Austin HubbardDakota Bush
Official totals — Austin Hubbard first
JudgeTotal
Derek Cleary2.0 avg spread · 42% wide29–28
Junichiro Kamijo2.0 avg spread · 43% wide29–28
Tony Weeks2.1 avg spread · 49% wide29–28

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 12 scored, Austin Hubbard first · unofficial

Jillian DeCoursey CombatPress.com30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Marcel Dorff mmadna.nl30–27
Scott Fontana Couchside Judges30–27
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com30–27
MM AJunkie.com30–27
Steve Duncan mma.uno29–28
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com29–28
MM AMania.com29–28
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–28
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–28
Tyler Treese Sherdog.com29–28

Fan vote · unofficial

30-27 Hubbard · 54%29-28 Hubbard · 38%29-28 Bush · 3%29-27 Hubbard · 3%30-26 Hubbard · 3%

37 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Austin Hubbard

1.63takedowns / 15 min
1.63 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.40 / 15m
5.82 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
7.27 / 15m
28%
ACCURACY
33%
0.10 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Dakota Bush

2.40takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Austin Hubbard↑ +5.0pp
open 60.9%close 65.9%
Dakota Bush↓ −5.0pp
open 39.1%close 34.1%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Austin Hubbard opened at 60.9% and closed at 65.9% (+5.0pp), with Dakota Bush moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Austin Hubbard-175-22360.9%65.9%+5.0pp
Dakota Bush14518039.1%34.1%−5.0pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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