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History · 2021 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · Julianna Pena vs Sara McMann
From the tape · 23 Jan 2021

Julianna Pena vs Sara McMann

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Julianna Pena beat Sara McMann

Method
Submission
Round
3 of 3
Clock
3:39
Women's BantamweightMain cardReferee · Keith Peterson

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

JP
Red corner JuliannaPena“The Venezuelan Vixen”SikJitsu · Spokane, Washington
VSOn the tape
SM
Blue corner SaraMcMannTeam Alpha Male · Gaffney, South Carolina
Women's Bantamweight3 rounds23 Jan 2021
The story going in
  • Has finished 2 of 5 UFC wins.
  • Has finished 3 of 6 UFC wins.
  • Carries 10 points more striking defence than McMann.
  • 11 UFC bouts deep — 4 more than Pena.
13-6
Record
13-6
−9 yr31
Age
40
5' 6"
Height
5' 6"
+3″69″
Reach
66″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
7
UFC bouts
+411
2/540% of wins
Finishes
+10%3/650% of wins
SikJitsu
Gym
Team Alpha Male
Spokane, Washington
From
Gaffney, South Carolina
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Julianna Pena5 sig landed
HEAD100%5 of 20BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
Sara McMann12 sig landed
HEAD58%7 of 23BODY25%3 of 5LEGS17%2 of 2
5 of 20
Sig.
strikes
12 of 30
0 of 0
Take-
downs
2 of 2
0:00
Control
2:58
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 5Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 9Clinch 2Ground 1
Round 25:00 of action
Julianna Pena13 sig landed
HEAD54%7 of 23BODY46%6 of 6LEGS0%0 landed
Sara McMann8 sig landed
HEAD38%3 of 10BODY38%3 of 4LEGS25%2 of 3
13 of 29
Sig.
strikes
8 of 17
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 1
0:08
Control
4:11
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 6Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 4Ground 2
Round 33:39 of action1 sub attemptEnded 3:39
Julianna Pena20 sig landed
HEAD75%15 of 22BODY25%5 of 5LEGS0%0 landed
Sara McMann1 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 6BODY100%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
20 of 27
Sig.
strikes
1 of 7
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 0
2:47
Control
0:12
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 8Clinch 4Ground 8
Where it
happened
Distance 1Clinch 0Ground 0

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Julianna Pena

Round
3
Clock
3:39
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Keith Peterson.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Julianna Pena

1.70takedowns / 15 min
1.70 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
4.38 / 15m
3.15 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
6.74 / 15m
54%
ACCURACY
65%
0.80 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.50 / 15m

Sara McMann

4.38takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.00 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Women's Bantamweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Julianna Pena↓ −7.6pp
open 56.2%close 48.6%
Sara McMann↑ +7.6pp
open 43.8%close 51.4%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Julianna Pena opened at 56.2% and closed at 48.6% (−7.6pp), with Sara McMann moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Julianna Pena-140-10556.2%48.6%−7.6pp
Sara McMann120-11843.8%51.4%+7.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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