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History · 2020 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Hakeem Dawodu vs Zubaira Tukhugov
From the tape · 26 Sep 2020

Hakeem Dawodu vs Zubaira Tukhugov

UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Hakeem Dawodu beat Zubaira Tukhugov

Method
Decision - Split
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
FeatherweightMain cardReferee · Kevin Sataki

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

Red corner HakeemDawodu“Mean”Calgary, Alberta
VSOn the tape
ZT
Blue corner ZubairaTukhugov“Warrior”Tiger Muay Thai · Grozny, Chechnya
Featherweight3 rounds26 Sep 2020
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 2 of 4 UFC wins.
  • Lands 2.3 more significant strikes a minute than Tukhugov.
  • Carries 35 points more takedown defence than Dawodu.
13-4-1
Record
20-6-1
29
Age
29
5' 8"
Height
5' 8"
+5″73″
Reach
68″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5
UFC bouts
+16
1/425% of wins
Finishes
+25%2/450% of wins
Calgary, Alberta
From
Grozny, Chechnya
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Hakeem Dawodu13 sig landed
HEAD23%3 of 24BODY23%3 of 5LEGS54%7 of 12
Zubaira Tukhugov10 sig landed
HEAD100%10 of 29BODY0%0 landedLEGS0%0 landed
13 of 41
Sig.
strikes
10 of 29
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
0:00
Control
0:00
Distance 13Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 10Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Dawodu firstAhmed Korchi10–9Anders Ohlsson10–9Dave Tirelli9–10
Round 25:00 of action
Hakeem Dawodu36 sig landed
HEAD56%20 of 38BODY22%8 of 9LEGS22%8 of 11
Zubaira Tukhugov21 sig landed
HEAD86%18 of 50BODY14%3 of 4LEGS0%0 landed
36 of 58
Sig.
strikes
21 of 54
0 of 0
Take-
downs
1 of 2
0:00
Control
1:17
Distance 36Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 1
Judges · this round · Dawodu firstAhmed Korchi9–10Anders Ohlsson10–9Dave Tirelli9–10
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Hakeem Dawodu20 sig landed
HEAD40%8 of 18BODY15%3 of 7LEGS45%9 of 12
Zubaira Tukhugov4 sig landed
HEAD75%3 of 9BODY25%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
20 of 37
Sig.
strikes
4 of 10
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 5
0:00
Control
0:46
Distance 20Clinch 0Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 4Clinch 0Ground 0
Judges · this round · Dawodu firstAhmed Korchi10–9Anders Ohlsson10–9Dave Tirelli10–9

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Split Decision

Referee · Kevin Sataki
Hakeem DawoduZubaira Tukhugov
Official totals — Hakeem Dawodu first
JudgeTotal
Ahmed Korchi29–28
Anders Ohlsson1.9 avg spread · 42% wide30–27
Dave Tirelli2.2 avg spread · 56% wide28–29

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 23 scored, Hakeem Dawodu first · unofficial

Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com30–27
Scott Fontana Couchside Judges30–27
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–28
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com29–28
Joe McDonagh Cageside Press29–28
Drake Riggs TheBodyLockMMA.com29–28
MM ABrasil.com.br29–28
Brian Knapp Sherdog.com29–29
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–29
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–29
Jillian DeCoursey CombatPress.com28–29
John Pollock POST Wrestling28–29
Matthew Wells TheBodyLockMMA.com28–29
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com28–29
Keith Shillan Sherdog.com28–29
Nick Baldwin theScore28–29
Marcel Dorff mmadna.nl28–29
Dayne Fox BloodyElbow.com28–29
MM AJunkie.com28–29
MM AMania.com28–29
Phil Murphy ESPN28–29
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport28–29
Shakiel Mahjouri Fightful.com28–29

Fan vote · unofficial

29-28 Tukhugov · 39%29-28 Dawodu · 38%30-27 Dawodu · 13%29-27 Dawodu · 3%

227 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Hakeem Dawodu

0.00takedowns / 15 min
0.00 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
2.13 / 15m
n/a
ATTEMPTS
5.46 / 15m
n/a
ACCURACY
39%
0.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Zubaira Tukhugov

2.13takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.73 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Featherweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Hakeem Dawodu↑ +8.3pp
open 40.4%close 48.7%
Zubaira Tukhugov↓ −8.3pp
open 59.6%close 51.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Hakeem Dawodu opened at 40.4% and closed at 48.7% (+8.3pp), with Zubaira Tukhugov moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Hakeem Dawodu140-10540.4%48.7%+8.3pp
Zubaira Tukhugov-160-11759.6%51.3%−8.3pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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