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History · 2020 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez
From the tape · 12 Sep 2020

Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Result

Ed Herman beat Mike Rodriguez

Method
Submission
Round
3 of 3
Clock
2:41
Light HeavyweightMain cardReferee · Chris Tognoni

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

EH
Red corner EdHerman“Short Fuse”American Top Team Portland · Portland, Oregon
VSOn the tape
MR
Blue corner MikeRodriguez“Slo Mike”Lauzon MMA · Boston, Massachusetts
Light Heavyweight3 rounds12 Sep 2020
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 2-fight win streak.
  • Lands 1.0 more significant strikes a minute than Herman.
  • Has finished 8 of 12 UFC wins.
27-16
Record
11-7
39
Age
−8 yr31
6' 1"
Height
+3″6' 4"
77″
Reach
+5″82″
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
+1823
UFC bouts
5
8/1267% of wins
Finishes
2/2100% of wins
American Top Team Portland
Gym
Lauzon MMA
Portland, Oregon
From
Boston, Massachusetts
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — and the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Ed Herman21 sig landed
HEAD48%10 of 23BODY24%5 of 7LEGS29%6 of 7
Mike Rodriguez31 sig landed
HEAD29%9 of 18BODY29%9 of 15LEGS42%13 of 16
21 of 37
Sig.
strikes
31 of 49
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:08
Control
0:41
0
Knock-
downs
0
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 12Clinch 9Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 20Clinch 11Ground 0
Round 25:00 of action⚡ 2 KD Rodriguez
Ed Herman18 sig landed
HEAD22%4 of 15BODY56%10 of 13LEGS22%4 of 4
Mike Rodriguez24 sig landed
HEAD29%7 of 13BODY62%15 of 16LEGS8%2 of 2
18 of 32
Sig.
strikes
24 of 31
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 1
1:29
Control
1:42
0
Knock-
downs
2
0
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 7Clinch 11Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 10Ground 2
Round 32:41 of action1 sub attemptEnded 2:41
Ed Herman1 sig landed
HEAD0%0 of 3BODY100%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Mike Rodriguez34 sig landed
HEAD76%26 of 35BODY18%6 of 6LEGS6%2 of 3
1 of 4
Sig.
strikes
34 of 44
1 of 2
Take-
downs
0 of 0
1:32
Control
0:53
0
Knock-
downs
0
1
Sub
attempts
0
Distance 0Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 2Clinch 27Ground 5

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

How it ended

This bout never reached the judges. Here is the finish, as the official record has it.

Won inside the distance

Ed Herman

Round
3
Clock
2:41
Method
Submission

This bout did not reach the judges, so there are no official cards for it. The round-by-round tape above is the whole record of what happened. Referee: Chris Tognoni.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Ed Herman

1.96takedowns / 15 min
1.96 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
0.00 / 15m
4.17 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
n/a
47%
ACCURACY
n/a
1.00 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Mike Rodriguez

0.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.96 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Light Heavyweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Ed Herman↓ −10.1pp
open 39.3%close 29.3%
Mike Rodriguez↑ +10.1pp
open 60.7%close 70.7%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Ed Herman opened at 39.3% and closed at 29.3% (−10.1pp), with Mike Rodriguez moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Ed Herman14523039.3%29.3%−10.1pp
Mike Rodriguez-170-27460.7%70.7%+10.1pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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