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History · 2020 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Leonardo Santos vs Roman Bogatov
From the tape · 11 Jul 2020

Leonardo Santos vs Roman Bogatov

UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Result

Leonardo Santos beat Roman Bogatov

Method
Decision - Unanimous
Round
3 of 3
Clock
5:00
LightweightMain cardReferee · Marc Goddard

We published no prediction for this bout. Everything on this page is the official record and the tape it was fought on — the result, the round-by-round counts, the judges’ cards where they exist and the sportsbook line where one was published. Our graded calls start in 2026 and live on the public record.

LS
Red corner LeonardoSantosNova Uniao · Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
VSOn the tape
RB
Blue corner RomanBogatovBoets MMA · Orenburg
Lightweight3 rounds11 Jul 2020
The story going in
  • Comes in on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Has finished 4 of 6 UFC wins.
18-7-1
Record
10-1
40
Age
−11 yr29
+4″6' 0"
Height
5' 8"
+2″75″
Reach
73″
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nova Uniao
Gym
Boets MMA
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
From
Orenburg
Vitals, record, nickname and camp come from the public UFC fighter register and are current, not a snapshot of fight night. UFC bouts, finish rate and every storyline line are counted off the official UFC fight record. A tick marks the side holding the raw edge in that row — longer reach, taller, younger, more bouts, a higher finish rate. It is a fact about the tape, not a prediction, and rows with no clean comparison (record, stance, gym, hometown) carry no tick at all. Any row we cannot fill on both sides is left out rather than half-drawn. Streaks, bout counts and finish rates are as they stood going into this fight — this bout and everything after it is excluded from the count.

Round by round

Every round the fight went, shaded by where the significant strikes actually landed — the takedowns, control time and knockdowns beside them, and how the three judges scored that round.

UFCStats · per round

3 rounds of tape

Round 15:00 of action
Leonardo Santos20 sig landed
HEAD65%13 of 38BODY15%3 of 5LEGS20%4 of 4
Roman Bogatov19 sig landed
HEAD37%7 of 34BODY37%7 of 11LEGS26%5 of 5
20 of 47
Sig.
strikes
19 of 50
1 of 1
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:37
Control
0:00
Distance 17Clinch 2Ground 1
Where it
happened
Distance 18Clinch 1Ground 0
Judges · this round · Santos firstLukasz Bosacki10–9Ben Cartlidge10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 25:00 of action
Leonardo Santos43 sig landed
HEAD95%41 of 58BODY5%2 of 3LEGS0%0 landed
Roman Bogatov13 sig landed
HEAD62%8 of 23BODY31%4 of 6LEGS8%1 of 1
43 of 61
Sig.
strikes
13 of 30
0 of 0
Take-
downs
0 of 2
0:57
Control
2:38
Distance 23Clinch 7Ground 13
Where it
happened
Distance 7Clinch 0Ground 6
Judges · this round · Santos firstLukasz Bosacki10–9Ben Cartlidge10–9Clemens Werner10–9
Round 35:00 of actionEnded 5:00
Leonardo Santos3 sig landed
HEAD67%2 of 10BODY33%1 of 1LEGS0%0 landed
Roman Bogatov18 sig landed
HEAD50%9 of 25BODY50%9 of 12LEGS0%0 landed
3 of 11
Sig.
strikes
18 of 37
0 of 1
Take-
downs
1 of 7
0:00
Control
3:29
Distance 2Clinch 1Ground 0
Where it
happened
Distance 12Clinch 5Ground 1
Judges · this round · Santos firstLukasz Bosacki9–8Ben Cartlidge9–8Clemens Werner9–8

Significant strikes, takedowns, control time, knockdowns and submission attempts exactly as UFCStats recorded them for this bout, round by round. Zone percentages are that round’s landed head, body and leg counts over their own total — raw arithmetic, nothing modelled or smoothed. A round in which a fighter landed nothing shades empty and reads zero; it is never filled in from the round before.

The cards, totalled

The judges’ final totals, the media’s cards beside them, and how these judges usually score. Their round-by-round 10–9s are with the rounds above.

Official card

Unanimous Decision

Referee · Marc Goddard
Leonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Official totals — Leonardo Santos first
JudgeTotal
Lukasz Bosacki2.6 avg spread · 69% wide29–26
Ben Cartlidge2.1 avg spread · 45% wide29–26
Clemens Werner2.1 avg spread · 50% wide29–26

Each judge’s round-by-round scores sit with the round they belong to, in the round-by-round section above — switch a round there and the three cards for it change with the stats.

Media cards — 20 scored, Leonardo Santos first · unofficial

John Pollock POST Wrestling29–25
Nick Baldwin theScore29–25
Danny Segura MMAJunkie.com29–25
MM AJunkie.com29–25
Tristen Critchfield Sherdog.com29–25
Phil Murphy ESPN29–25
Drake Riggs TheBodyLockMMA.com29–25
Tim Burke BloodyElbow.com29–26
Dominik Durniat Polsat Sport29–26
Ben Duffy Sherdog.com29–26
Jay Pettry Sherdog.com29–26
Ryan Frederick WrestlingObserver.com29–26
Scott Fontana Couchside Judges29–26
Rob Tatum CombatPress.com29–26
Matthew Wells FanSided.com29–26
Michael DeSantis MMASucka.com29–26
Paul Fontaine WrestlingObserver.com29–26
Hadi Mohamed Ali albiladpress.com29–26
MM ABrasil.com.br29–26
MM AMania.com28–27

Fan vote · unofficial

29-26 Santos · 48%29-25 Santos · 33%28-27 Santos · 7%28-26 Santos · 3%30-24 Santos · 3%

89 fan cards submitted to MMA Decisions.

Official cards come from the UFCStats fight record and MMA Decisions. Media cards and the fan vote are MMA Decisions’ own collection and are not official. Judge tendency figures are that judge’s whole recorded history, not this bout — they are context for how a card was scored, never a claim that it was scored wrongly.

Takedowns

Takedowns

The level change — head to head

Career UFC takedown rates. Red corner left, blue corner right.

Leonardo Santos

0.88takedowns / 15 min
0.88 / 15m
TAKEDOWNS
1.00 / 15m
3.52 / 15m
ATTEMPTS
11.11 / 15m
25%
ACCURACY
9%
0.20 / 15m
SUB ATT
0.00 / 15m

Roman Bogatov

1.00takedowns / 15 min

Career UFC takedown rates exactly as UFCStats publishes them: takedowns landed per 15 minutes, completion rate, submission attempts per 15 minutes, and the share of takedowns tried on them that they stuffed. Attempts per 15 is the one derived figure — landed ÷ completion rate — and it is omitted wherever either input is missing. UFCStats writes 0% where no attempt was recorded at all, so a percentage of exactly zero reads “n/a” here rather than as a measured rate. “Field” is the average fighter in that weight class, or across every division where a class is too small to average. Rate bars run to the population’s 95th percentile (5.22 takedowns / 15m); a fighter above it pins the bar. Percentages are drawn on their own axis.

Ranked in Lightweight

The market story

Where the price started and where it finished — the sportsbook consensus, with the vig removed. We captured no price series for this bout, so there is no chart to draw.

Leonardo Santos↑ +1.6pp
open 62.1%close 63.7%
Roman Bogatov↓ −1.6pp
open 37.9%close 36.3%
0%50%100%
OpenClosing consensus (BFO, vig removed)

Leonardo Santos opened at 62.1% and closed at 63.7% (+1.6pp), with Roman Bogatov moving the other way by the same amount — the two are one de-vigged pair, so they always sum to 100%. There is no line between those two points because nobody recorded one: we hold the open and the close for this bout, not the days in between.

Show the numbers
CornerOpen (US)Close (US)Open %Close %Move
Leonardo Santos-190-19462.1%63.7%+1.6pp
Roman Bogatov15016637.9%36.3%−1.6pp
Opening and closing moneylines from BestFightOdds (data/refs/bfo_fighter_moneylines.csv), one row per fighter per bout, de-vigged pairwise so the two corners sum to 100% · scraped 2026-06-10. No price series was captured for this bout, so no line is drawn between the two points.
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